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A4.2.5—Evidence for biodiversity crisis

Evidence for the biodiversity crisis comes from repeated surveys, diversity indices, global assessments, and validated observations across disturbed and undisturbed habitats.

Syllabus
First assessment 2025
Objective
A4.2.5
Level
SL

Evidence Can Reveal a Biodiversity Crisis

Evidence for a biodiversity crisis comes from consistent trends in abundance, range, extinction risk, genetic diversity and ecosystem integrity.

Long-term monitoring, museum records, remote sensing and standardized surveys can distinguish real declines from changing detection effort. Multiple indicators are stronger than one dramatic case. Use the evidence scale and context before drawing a broad conclusion.

Evaluate a trend by checking:

  • baseline and time span
  • sampling effort
  • taxonomic coverage
  • uncertainty and alternative explanations

A repeated decline in standardized bird counts across many sites is stronger evidence than one year of observations from a single park.

A crisis claim should report scale and uncertainty rather than imply every species is declining equally.

Build A Conservation Argument

A strong conservation answer follows a chain: define biodiversity, measure evidence of decline, identify human drivers, then justify conservation action. Biodiversity includes ecosystem, species, and genetic diversity; species diversity uses richness and evenness. Evidence comes from estimates, fossils, repeated surveys, IPBES reports, and indices. Drivers include extinction pressure, ecosystem conversion, population-driven resource demand, pollution, and invasive species. Responses include in situ, ex situ, and EDGE prioritization.

  • Define biodiversity across ecosystem, species, and genetic levels.
  • Measure species diversity using richness, evenness, and Simpson’s reciprocal index.
  • Use evidence cautiously: modern estimates, fossil gaps, repeated surveys, IPBES reports, and reliability checks.
  • Explain drivers using named examples: moa, Caribbean monk seal, Borneo, Great Barrier Reef, lionfish, water hyacinth.
  • Choose conservation responses: in situ, ex situ, and EDGE priorities.

Concept essentials

  • Repeated surveys are needed to detect biodiversity change rather than one-off variation.
  • Richness, evenness and diversity indices provide quantitative evidence of community change.
  • Global assessments synthesize many studies to evaluate extinction and habitat-loss trends.
  • Citizen science can support biodiversity evidence when records are verified and sampling bias is considered.
ConceptIB Biology SL