IB ESS HL 8.1.4 Global population growth models Question Bank
Practise IB ESS SL/HL 8.1.4 by applying global population growth models concepts to exam-style environmental systems questions.
- Syllabus
- First assessment 2026
- Course
- ESS HL
- Level
- HL
Practise IB ESS SL/HL 8.1.4 by applying global population growth models concepts to exam-style environmental systems questions.

Figure:World population figures, 1950–2019, and predictions for 2020–2100

Figure:Countries and regions where population decreased by at least 1% between 2010 and 2019
Using Figure: World population figures, 1950–2019, and predictions for 2020–2100, identify the year in which the median prediction of the world population will reach 10 billion.
2055;
Outline one reason for the uncertainty in predicting the world's population in
Figure: World population figures, 1950–2019, and predictions for 2020–2100.
i. different models/scenarios/fertility rates might use different figures in their calculations;
ii. difficult to determine how the demographic policies of countries might change;
iii. factors outside our control eg. disaster / disease / war;
Note: Do not credit vague statements about prediction being difficult. They should identify at least one specific factor that makes it difficult. (NB Migration is irrelevant because this is global population.)
Using Figure: Countries and regions where population decreased by at least 1% between 2010 and 2019, identify the region that has the most countries with a decrease in the percentage change in population between 2010 and 2019.
Europe and Northern America;