Practise drawing tariff, quota and subsidy diagrams, then explain how trade barriers change imports, prices, output, government revenue and stakeholder welfare in IB Economics SL.
Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Text D - Overview of Cameroon
(1) Cameroon is a country in Central Africa with a population of 25 million. It is rich in natural resources, including oil and mineral ores, and produces a wide range of agricultural products, such as cotton and cocoa. Its economic growth is usually driven by the export of oil. The gross domestic product (GDP) of Cameroon grew by an average of 5.6 % per year between 2013 and 2014 when oil prices were high.
(2) Economic growth slowed and the budget deficit increased sharply between 2014 and 2016, when oil prices fell by 45 %. Oil production is a major part of the formal economy and is an important source of tax revenue for the government of Cameroon. Up to 90 % of the workers in other sectors are employed in the informal economy and hence contribute significantly less to tax revenue. Increased military spending in response to recent conflicts in the western regions of Cameroon further widened the budget deficit.
(3) Since the collapse of oil prices, economic growth has been supported by expansionary fiscal policy, which has become increasingly difficult to sustain. The budget deficit has increased to around 5 % of GDP and caused government (national) debt to rise to 30 % of GDP.
(4) Although there has been some reduction in absolute poverty in Cameroon, the number of people living in relative poverty increased by 12 % to 8.1 million between 2007 and 2014. The funds allocated for poverty reduction often go to subsidies for electricity, food and fuel. This reduces available funding for education and healthcare, which is insufficient in rural areas where poverty is most extreme.
(5) With an abundance of natural resources, Cameroon has the potential to attract foreign direct investment (FDI). However, weak governance and the poor business environment have deterred foreign investors. Local entrepreneurs are also discouraged by the long wait times for obtaining licenses to operate and the difficulties in securing business loans.
(6) Cameroon maintains a fixed exchange rate to the euro, at 1 franc =0.0015 euro. Because of the persistent trade deficit, the franc (Cameroon's currency) is overvalued at this level. Interest rates are kept high to prevent capital flight, which could increase the currency's overvaluation.
Text E - The Growth and Employment Strategy
(1) The Growth and Employment Strategy is a set of policies adopted by the government of Cameroon to encourage diversification and promote efficiency in production. The policies have three broad objectives:
- Create jobs and reduce the size of the informal economy through investment in human capital.
- Increase productivity in agriculture, mining, and selected industries with potential for growth (timber, tourism, and information and communication technologies).
- Encourage private investment and trade through the provision of infrastructure (including roads, ports and clean water supply).
(2) Productivity is low, especially in the primary sector. Cameroon has one million small farms engaged in traditional agriculture, but has a limited number of workers trained in good farming practices and management skills. Unskilled workers often work in the informal economy.
(3) Access to imported fertilizer and lower transportation costs could reduce costs of production significantly. Farms also need to increase productivity to reduce labour costs. The monthly agricultural wage averages 20000 francs but the government has recently increased the minimum wage to 36270 francs. This could lead to an improvement in the economic well-being of workers in the formal economy but could increase unemployment and force some workers to enter the informal economy.
(4) The government remains committed to keeping food prices low in the short term through subsidies. Due to improved farming methods, farmers produced better quality cocoa beans in 2019, allowing them to charge higher prices on the international market. Over time, the increase in productivity should lead to higher incomes, lower prices and higher-quality products.
Text F - Free trade agreements with the European Union (EU) and the United Kingdom (UK)
Cameroon has signed free trade agreements with the EU and the UK, which allow tariff-free access to the EU and the UK markets for products such as bananas, aluminium and processed cocoa products. Tariffs on imports into Cameroon of machinery and equipment, vehicles and fertilizers were also removed. However, tariffs on textiles and strategic agricultural products such as meat products, milk and selected vegetables were maintained.
Table 3: Selected data for Cameroon
* charged by financial institutions on loans
Table 4: Cameroon's main export markets (2019)
Using an international trade diagram, explain the effect of removing tariffs on the imports of fertilizer into Cameroon (Text F).
Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Text A — Overview of North Macedonia
(1) North Macedonia is a small, landlocked nation that shares borders with five countries, including Bulgaria and Greece. Bulgaria and Greece are members of the European Union (EU) common market, which North Macedonia hopes to join soon. Since the country began negotiating for EU membership, trade with the EU has increased rapidly and now accounts for 75 % of North Macedonia's exports and 62 % of its imports.
(2) Despite its small market, with a population of approximately 2 million, North Macedonia's proximity to the EU, low wages and expected entry into the common market have attracted foreign investors. Greece, its richest neighbour, was its third highest source of foreign investment in 2019. The lower cost of living also appeals to Greek tourists.
(3) EU companies have invested in the financial, telecommunication, energy and food processing industries in North Macedonia. Many of the most profitable companies are from the EU. If EU membership is granted, foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows may increase as firms located in North Macedonia will be allowed to bypass all custom checks and enjoy tariff-free trade within the common market. One particular challenge for North Macedonia, however, is that most of the profits of foreign companies are likely to be repatriated (sent back to the companies' home countries).
(4) In 2018, North Macedonia's export revenue was US billion and its import expenditure was US$9.56 billion. The country's main exports are iron and steel, clothing and accessories, and food products. Food, livestock and consumer goods account for 33 % of imports while the remainder are machinery, petroleum and other materials needed for the industrial production process.
(5) The manufacturing sector, which now employs 31 % of the labour force, has gained more importance. The agricultural sector remains strong, contributes over 10 % of North Macedonia's gross domestic product (GDP) and employs about 16 % of the country's workforce.
(6) The unemployment rate decreased from over 30 % in 2010 to 17.3 % in 2019. However, youth unemployment is almost 40 %. Over 20 % of the population lives below the poverty line. Unemployment and poverty contribute to high rates of emigration. More than 20 % of the North Macedonian population have emigrated since 1994, mostly to the EU. As a member of the EU, North Macedonia will enjoy free movement of labour which will make it easy for its citizens to live and work in other EU countries.
Text B - North Macedonia's economic reforms
(1) To be considered for EU membership, North Macedonia implemented a series of supply-side policies to reform its economy. The EU imposes strict requirements for membership but provides financial assistance to countries preparing for membership. North Macedonia has received 633 million euros (the currency of the EU) to help with the reforms.
(2) Most of the supply-side policies seek to improve the international competitiveness of North Macedonia's industries. The authorities are increasing access to education and training for workers. The expansion of the transport network and other infrastructure is also expected to increase efficiency.
(3) Protection of the environment is also on the list of requirements for EU membership. North Macedonia aims to reduce its dependence on coal and to instead promote the use of solar, wind and hydropower technologies. These low-carbon energy sources would help decrease its air pollution, which is among the worst in Europe.
(4) The reforms, which started in 2014, have shown progress. Exports and manufacturing output are more diversified and more concentrated on high-value products. To attract FDI, North Macedonia maintains one of the lowest tax rates on corporate income in the region. The central bank also prevents the denar (North Macedonia's currency) from appreciating against the euro through managing foreign reserves. However, skill shortages and a mismatch of skills with those required by companies discourage foreign firms from investing. Important investment gaps in public infrastructure also remain.
Text C - North Macedonia's trade agreements
North Macedonia participates in five free trade agreements (FTAs), that together cover 95 % of its exports and 78 % of its imports. Most of its trade with the EU is already free but imports of wine, beef and fish products are still subject to quotas. North Macedonia is currently a net importer of agricultural and food products. All protectionist measures on EU products would be removed upon entry into the common market.
Table 1: Consumer Price Index (CPI) for North Macedonia (base year = 2010)
Table 2: Economic data for North Macedonia
Using an international trade diagram, explain the likely impact of the removal of import quotas on North Macedonia's production of wine (Text C).
Study the following extract and answer the questions that follow.
South Africa's grain millers oppose corn tariff
(1) A battle is taking place between South African corn farmers and the corn millers who process corn. Grain South Africa (Grain SA) is the organization that represents the interests of corn farmers. It has asked the country's International Trade Administration Commission (ITAC) to protect local corn farmers from low global corn prices by imposing a tariff on corn imports.
(2) South Africa's corn millers are opposing the request by Grain SA to implement the tariff on corn imports. The corn millers argue that a tariff will cause a burden for consumers and cattle farmers. In South Africa, corn is an essential food and also a source of feed for livestock.
(3) According to Reuters news service, South Africa is "Africa's largest corn producer and is relied upon by neighboring Sub-Saharan nations to [reinforce] their own corn supplies and feed their people." A drought in South Africa has dramatically increased the price of corn. In addition, the reduced supply has prompted the need for imports. "South Africa [has traditionally been] a net exporter of corn ... [but] for the second year in a row, [the economy] will become a net importer of corn." The need to import corn has shocked both the corn farmers and the government.
(4) The United States (US) is the world's largest corn producer. An unusually large harvest has increased US supply and more than halved the price of US corn to its current price of US$145 a ton. However, in South Africa, because of the drought, prices for domestically produced corn have more than doubled to reach an all-time high of US$348 a ton. The low import prices of US corn have made it very difficult for South African corn farmers to earn sufficient income to survive the drought, which is why they have asked ITAC for protection.
(5) However, a spokesperson for the corn millers said "we are strongly opposed to any attempt to apply a tariff. Why do we need protection for a commodity in which we are so self-sufficient?" However, Grain SA have claimed that corn farmers cannot compete with the big corn-exporting countries, such as the US and Mexico, because their governments are subsidizing corn farmers. According to Grain SA, South African farmers get almost no assistance. This is why they have requested that ITAC implement the tariff to protect corn farmers from these unfair trade practices.
(6) According to economists, South Africa will probably need to import about 970000 tons of corn this year and a further 3.8 million tons in the following 12 months. To make matters worse, the rand (South Africa's currency) has experienced a sharp depreciation against the US dollar. Combined, the need to import corn and the depreciation are likely to negatively impact South Africa's current account. Van Vuuren, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-21/grain-millers-oppose-south-african-corn-import-tariff-review, accessed 28 August 2016, used with permission of Bloomberg L.P. Copyright©2017. All rights reserved, and "South Africa's corn crop dilemma and the likely fixes: Braun," by Karen Braun, 8 April 2016, reuters.com, © 2016 reuters.com, http://www.reuters. com/article/us-safrica-maize-braun-corn-idUSKCN0X51QY. All rights reserved.]
}
Using a demand and supply diagram, explain the effect of government subsidies on the US corn market (paragraph (5).
