IB Economics SL Unit 3 Macroeconomics Topic Practice

Question 1

[Maximum number: 25]

Question (a)

(a)

Explain the effect of a rise in saving and a fall in investment on the circular flow of income of an economy.

[ 10 ]

Question (b)

(b)

Discuss the view that an economy will always return to the full employment equilibrium level of output in the long run.

[ 15 ]

Question 2

[Maximum number: 2]

Study the following extract and answer the questions that follow.
China's trade reforms

(1) The Chinese government has announced a set of free trade measures, including lower import tariffs on cars, soybeans and pharmaceuticals, in an attempt to end a trade war with the United States (US).

(2) The US government has long accused China of engaging in unfair trade practices to maintain their current account surplus. The trade dispute between the two largest economies intensified when the US said it would impose anti-dumping tariffs on Chinese steel and aluminium.

(3) The trade war with the US comes at a bad time given the slowdown in China's domestic demand. In recent years, China's economic growth has relied less on investment and exports and more on consumption expenditure.

(4) Producers of many Chinese manufactured goods currently benefit from protectionist measures. In particular, imports of industrial equipment, medical devices, tractors and vehicles are subject to high tariffs.
(5) Automobile production capacity in China is growing. However, the domestic market is becoming oversupplied, with more cars being offered for sale than Chinese consumers want to buy. For this reason, Chinese car manufacturers are seeking to export their cars to other markets. They are therefore eager to see reduced trade tensions as increased US tariffs would make it harder to export Chinese cars to the US.

(6) Some Chinese car manufacturers are already focusing on adding advanced capabilities to their cars in order to be more competitive in global markets. China is increasing its efforts to become a world leader in self-driving cars. These will be intelligent cars that will improve transport efficiency and meet energy-saving and emission-reduction targets. Many believe that Chinese companies are so innovative that they no longer require protection from international enterprises.

(7) However, many Chinese firms remain dependent on imported factors of production. Approximately 30 % of Chinese exports are manufactured using imported equipment and components. The reduction of tariffs would therefore lower prices not only for producers but also for consumers of Chinese goods.

Define the term consumption indicated in bold in the text (paragraph (3)).

Question 3

[Maximum number: 11]

Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Text D - Overview of Bhutan

(1) Bhutan is a lower-middle income country in southern Asia. It is mountainous, water is plentiful, and 60 % of the territory is protected forest. Since 2008, Bhutan has measured its economic development by changes in its "Gross National Happiness" (GNH) index. The index considers factors such as income inequality, environmental conservation, sustainable development, and gender equality, in addition to the components of the Human Development Index (HDI).

(2) The pursuit of GNH has involved using government programmes to spread the benefits of economic growth across all social groups. An example of this is the construction of large hydropower plants, not only for the export of electricity but also to ensure that remote communities can buy power at low prices. Hydropower is a renewable method of producing electricity using the natural flow of water. With these new plants, all rural and urban areas had access to electricity by 2019.

(3) Government intervention in the market for electricity has been necessary due to the high cost of resources. Both the production and distribution of electricity are therefore controlled by state
owned enterprises. Bhutan's government has relied on India for grants and loans to finance hydropower projects.

(4) Sales of surplus electricity to India, amounting to over 70 % of electricity generation in 2021, have increased the funds available to the government for investment in healthcare and education. These revenues have also helped to finance the expansion of essential infrastructure, particularly road networks. The government's aim has been to reduce poverty and to improve well-being, especially in rural areas.

(5) Hydropower has proved to be an important source of economic development. However, the private sector faces a lack of investment for multiple reasons, including high transport costs and a small domestic market. This has limited the creation of new private sector jobs. Furthermore, a sustainability tax of 100 USA dollars (USD) per night for tourists helps with Bhutan's conservation efforts. The tax reduces Bhutan's competitiveness as a tourist destination.

(6) Agriculture is vital to Bhutan's largely rural population. This sector employed 55 % of the workforce in 2021. However, most agricultural produce, such as rice, is consumed by farming households rather than sold in the market. By 2021, the country was importing about 50 % of its food. The growing food demands of urban areas could have negative consequences for the balance of payments.

(7) Agricultural output is constrained by many factors, including a lack of machinery, irrigation and affordable credit. Bhutan's partnership with the United Nations International Fund for Agricultural Development has provided funds for investment in the agricultural sector, such as irrigation systems, roads connecting farms to markets, and storage facilities. However, the GNH emphasis on sustainability could restrict growth in this sector. For example, to preserve biodiversity there are restrictions on the use of chemical fertilizers.
Text E - Youth unemployment in Bhutan*

(1) The youth unemployment rate for Bhutan in 2021 was 20.9 %. However, youth unemployment in towns was much higher than in rural areas. Approximately 60 % of the total unemployed youth were female.

(2) There is a mismatch between the needs of employers and the skills of young people. Apart from this problem, the private sector requires government assistance in creating job opportunities so that young people can find employment outside of the public sector. Moreover, a lack of finance discourages the youth from entrepreneurship, further reducing their work prospects and the growth of Bhutan's economy.
Text F - Bhutan's trade relations with India
Bhutan has a free trade agreement with India, removing all tariffs between the two countries. In 2021-2022, about 80 % of Bhutan's international trade was with India. India's top imports from Bhutan include electricity, metals, and cement. Bhutan relies on India for goods such as fuel, cars, and rice. Transactions between the two countries are straightforward, as the central bank of Bhutan ensures the ngultrum (Bhutan's currency, BTN) is fixed to the rupee (India's currency, INR) at the exchange rate of 1 BTN=1 INR.
* aged between 15 and 24

Table 4: Economic data for Bhutan

Table 4: Economic data for Bhutan

Table 5: Development data for Bhutan

Table 5: Development data for Bhutan

Figure 1: HDI for Bhutan from 2010 to 2021

Figure 1: HDI for Bhutan from 2010 to 2021

Question (a)

(a)

Define the term economic growth indicated in bold in the text (Text D, paragraph 2).

[ 2 ]

Question (b)

(b)

Using information from Table 4, calculate Bhutan's real GDP in USD in 2021.

[ 2 ]

Question (c)

(c)

Using information from Table 4, calculate Bhutan's nominal GDP per capita in USD in 2021.

[ 1 ]

Question (d)

(d)

Using information from Table 4, calculate the change in Bhutan's nominal gross national income (GNI) in USD between 2008 and 2021.

[ 2 ]

Question (e)

(e)

Using an AD/AS diagram, explain the likely effect on Bhutan's real GDP of a large increase in sales of electricity, produced in Bhutan, to India (Text D, paragraph 4).

[ 4 ]

Question 4

[Maximum number: 11]

Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Text A — India-United Kingdom trade agreement negotiations

Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Text A — India-United Kingdom trade agreement negotiations

(1) India is a country located in South Asia. India's government predicts 7 % annual economic growth and it is expected to become the third-largest global economy by 2030. To support growth, India is establishing trade agreements to diversify trade partners, and reduce the impact of global political and economic shocks. However, the annual inflation rate increased from 4 % in 2021 to 7.8 % in 2022 due to supply chain issues and oil price increases. In response, India's government has reduced taxes on fuel while the central bank has tightened monetary policy.

(2) The United Kingdom (UK), a country in Europe, needs trade agreements with countries in Asia as this area contains some of the world's fastest-growing economies and represents over 40 % of global gross domestic product (GDP). It is currently negotiating a free trade agreement (FTA) with India, which aims to double trade between the two countries by 2030. The agreement is also expected to increase labour movement and job opportunities and protect intellectual property. The Indian government is negotiating easier access to UK work permits and student visas but is concerned that some of its citizens may not return home with their skills.

(3) The India-UK FTA would reduce trade protection, including tariffs and quotas, and administrative barriers. India expects to increase its exports of textiles, leather goods, footwear, and pharmaceutical products, whereas the UK aims to boost its exports of British cars, wine, spirits and vinegar. Additionally, foreign direct investment (FDI) between the two countries is expected to increase. The FDI inflows could help to finance India's large current account deficit, which has increased as worker remittances from abroad have fallen. However, the current account deficit may decrease anyway because of recent increases in portfolio investment outflows, which could also impact the value of the rupee (India's currency).

(4) Increased competition from UK imports may threaten the growth of infant industries in India. An example is the local wine industry in India, which has grown by 30-40 % in recent years. However, to protect infant industries, the reduction in tariffs will be gradual and business taxes will be lowered.

(5) Another discussion area in India-UK trade negotiations is the possible privatization of essential services in India, such as healthcare, education, and water. There has been encouragement from the UK for India to open these markets to foreign investment and competition.

(6) Increased trade and competition could lower prices, forcing firms to cut labour costs. Indian labour protection groups want the UK to stop trade talks until India changes a law restricting labour unions. They believe the trade agreement should include regulations to protect against poor working conditions and low pay, which impact gender inequality and child welfare.
Text B - India-UK trade negotiations and Sustainable Development Goals

(1) India and the UK recognize the relationship between trade and sustainable development and are committed to supporting the sustainable development goals (SDG).

(2) The India-UK FTA negotiations are encouraging collaborative research and development projects in the following areas:
- Clean energy and green technologies; decreasing the market failure associated with fossil fuel energy, developing electric vehicles, and waste management practices.
- Gender inequalities; improving access to credit and markets for women, improving education opportunities, and increasing labour participation rate of females in India.
- Human and labour rights; supporting programmes that create work opportunities and better working conditions.
- The agricultural sector and food security; addressing India's low productivity rates, which are blamed on ineffective fertilizer subsidies, lack of infrastructure, and flooding and drought problems from climate change.
- The healthcare sector; developing pharmaceutical products.

Table 1: Development data for India

Table 1: Development data for India



(3) India-UK's previous health sector collaboration resulted in global vaccine development and helped decrease the market failure in the industry. However, possible FTA intellectual property rules may limit India's ability to produce low-price medication, resulting in reduced export opportunities and possibly creating monopolies. On the other hand, targeted research and development could lead to cheaper medication, and the UK's insurance expertise may improve India's health insurance programme.

(4) Growth in India-UK trade may increase carbon emissions, deforestation, and air and water pollution. Experts estimate the FTA could increase trade-related transport emissions by up to 36 %. Environmental experts believe this is significant as the UK continues cutting solar panel subsidies, slowing the conversion to clean energy.

Table 2: India and UK SDG data in 2021

Table 2: India and UK SDG data in 2021

Table 3: India's SDG progress in 2021

Table 3: India's SDG progress in 2021

Table 4: Economic data for India

Table 4: Economic data for India

Question (a)

(a)

Define the term monetary policy indicated in bold (Text A, paragraph 1).

[ 2 ]

Question (b)

(b)

Using information from Table 4, calculate the percentage change in real GDP per capita between 2017 and 2021.

[ 3 ]

Question (c)

(c)

Sketch an AD/AS diagram to show the possible impact on India's inflation rate of a tighter monetary policy (Text A, paragraph 1).

[ 2 ]

Question (d)

(d)

Using an AD/AS diagram, explain how increased female participation rates may impact India's potential output (Text B, paragraph 2 and Table 1).

[ 4 ]
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