6.2.14 (HL)—Tipping cascades

Tipping elements can interact: crossing one threshold may alter forcing or resilience and raise risk for another.

Draw element A → changed climate/ecology → pressure on B, then label whether the link amplifies or dampens. Combined prediction is less certain than isolated analysis because interactions and timing vary.

Forest dieback lowers carbon uptake, increasing warming pressure on an ice system; this is a plausible linked pathway, not proof of synchronized collapse.

Each element and cross-link has uncertainty, so errors compound across the chain.

Linked risk is not a deterministic domino sequence; distinguish mechanism, likelihood and timing.