A4.2.5—Evidence for biodiversity crisis

Evidence for the biodiversity crisis comes from repeated surveys, diversity indices, global assessments, and validated observations across disturbed and undisturbed habitats.

Syllabus
First assessment 2025
Objective
A4.2.5
Level
HL

Evaluate Evidence for a Biodiversity Crisis

Evidence for a biodiversity crisis comes from repeated, comparable surveys showing declines in species richness, evenness, abundance, ranges, genetic diversity or ecosystem integrity across many habitats.

A single survey provides a snapshot; repeated standardized sampling reveals change. IPBES assessments combine many published datasets and lines of evidence, so their broad conclusions are stronger than one isolated observation.

Check the baseline, time span, sampling effort, method, geographic and taxonomic coverage, uncertainty and alternative explanations. Richness and evenness—and, where appropriate, Simpson's reciprocal index—allow communities to be compared through time.

Citizen scientists can supply frequent observations over a wide area, but training, validation, repeated sites and correction for changing observer effort are needed before a decline is inferred.

Peer review permits methods and analysis to be checked but does not make a dataset flawless. A crisis claim should report scale and uncertainty rather than imply that every species declines equally.

Build A Conservation Argument

A strong conservation answer follows a chain: define biodiversity, measure evidence of decline, identify human drivers, then justify conservation action. Biodiversity includes ecosystem, species, and genetic diversity; species diversity uses richness and evenness. Evidence comes from estimates, fossils, repeated surveys, IPBES reports, and indices. Drivers include extinction pressure, ecosystem conversion, population-driven resource demand, pollution, and invasive species. Responses include in situ, ex situ, and EDGE prioritization.

  • Define biodiversity across ecosystem, species, and genetic levels.
  • Measure species diversity using richness, evenness, and Simpson’s reciprocal index.
  • Use evidence cautiously: modern estimates, fossil gaps, repeated surveys, IPBES reports, and reliability checks.
  • Explain drivers using named examples: moa, Caribbean monk seal, Borneo, Great Barrier Reef, lionfish, water hyacinth.
  • Choose conservation responses: in situ, ex situ, and EDGE priorities.

Concept essentials

  • Repeated surveys are needed to detect biodiversity change rather than one-off variation.
  • Richness, evenness and diversity indices provide quantitative evidence of community change.
  • Global assessments synthesize many studies to evaluate extinction and habitat-loss trends.
  • Citizen science can support biodiversity evidence when records are verified and sampling bias is considered.