1.3.2 - The market

Syllabus
2017
Topic
1.3.2
Level
AS

Learning objectives

Demand shifts when non-price conditions change

Demand is the quantity consumers are willing and able to buy at each price in a given period. A change in the product's own price causes movement along demand; a non-price factor shifts the whole demand curve.

Change Likely demand effect, other things equal
substitute price rises demand for this product rises
complement price rises demand for this product falls
income rises demand rises for a normal good but falls for an inferior good
tastes, fashion, marketing or brand appeal strengthen demand rises
target population grows market demand rises
favourable/unfavourable shock demand may rise/fall according to the context
product enters/leaves its buying season demand rises/falls

State the changed factor, identify which customers become more willing and able to buy, shift demand right or left, then explain the likely effect on equilibrium price and quantity after considering supply.

Do not shift demand because the product's own price changed. Income, weather or advertising has no fixed direction without identifying the product and customers affected.

Supply shifts when production conditions change

Supply is the quantity producers are willing and able to offer at each price in a given period. A change in the product's own price causes movement along supply; production conditions shift the curve.

Higher input, wage or energy costs make each unit less profitable, so producers offer less at every price: supply shifts left. An indirect tax has a similar cost effect. A subsidy lowers the effective cost and shifts supply right.

Productive technology can shift supply right when it lowers unit cost or expands output capacity. A favourable external event can improve access to labour, materials or transport; a disaster, shortage or disruption can remove capacity and shift supply left.

Identify the changed production condition, explain its effect on cost or capacity, and only then give the shift direction. Read the new equilibrium against the unchanged demand curve.

Technology does not guarantee more supply if adoption is too costly or capacity cannot adjust. A demand change is not a supply shift merely because firms later sell more.

Price coordinates demand and supply

Market equilibrium occurs where quantity demanded equals quantity supplied. At that price, buyers' planned purchases match sellers' planned output.

Market state Signal Adjustment pressure
shortage: Qd > Qs buyers compete for too few units price tends to rise; quantity demanded falls and supplied rises
equilibrium: Qd = Qs no persistent excess demand or supply price has no internal pressure to change
surplus: Qs > Qd sellers hold unwanted output price tends to fall; quantity demanded rises and supplied falls

A shift changes the old balance. Increased demand creates a shortage at the original price, normally producing a higher equilibrium price and quantity. Increased supply creates a surplus at the original price, normally producing a lower price and higher quantity.

Equilibrium is a model outcome, not proof that the price is fair or stable. Prices may adjust slowly because of contracts, regulation, inventories, information gaps or capacity limits.

Construct and read a demand-supply shift

A valid market diagram uses price on the vertical axis and quantity on the horizontal axis, with downward demand and upward supply. Their intersection is the original equilibrium.

  1. Label axes P and Q and curves D₁ and S₁. 2. Mark the original equilibrium E₁, price P₁ and quantity Q₁. 3. Decide whether the cause changes demand or supply—not the product's own price. 4. shift only that curve right for an increase or left for a decrease, labelling D₂ or S₂. 5. Mark E₂ and project P₂ and Q₂ to the axes. 6. explain the causal chain in words.
Shift Equilibrium price Equilibrium quantity
demand right rises rises
demand left falls falls
supply right falls rises
supply left rises falls

Do not move both curves unless the evidence changes both. The model predicts direction, not an exact magnitude, and assumes other demand and supply conditions remain constant.

Calculate price elasticity of demand

Price elasticity of demand (PED) measures how responsive quantity demanded is to a change in the product's price.

PED=PED = % change in quantity demanded / % change in price

Calculate each percentage change from its original value, retain the signs, divide, and report the coefficient. Example: price falls from 10to10 to8, a −20% change; weekly sales rise from 2,500 to 3,500, a +40% change. PED = +40% ÷ −20% = −2.0.

The negative sign reflects the usual inverse price-demand relationship. For responsiveness, compare the absolute value: |−2.0| = 2, so demand is elastic and the percentage quantity response is twice the percentage price change.

Use the original values unless the question specifies another percentage method. Keep the sign for a complete calculation, but use magnitude when classifying elastic or inelastic demand.

Interpret PED by magnitude

PED's magnitude compares the percentage response of quantity demanded with the percentage change in price.

Absolute PED Classification Meaning
0 perfectly inelastic quantity does not respond in the model
between 0 and 1 inelastic quantity changes by a smaller percentage than price
1 unit elastic quantity and price change by equal percentages
greater than 1 elastic quantity changes by a larger percentage than price
extremely large highly/perfectly elastic limit very small price change produces a very large response

If PED = −1.5 and price falls 8%, estimated quantity demanded changes by (−1.5) × (−8%) = +12%. State direction, size and the assumption that other demand factors remain unchanged.

A negative coefficient is not 'less elastic' than a positive one; price PED is normally negative, so responsiveness uses the absolute value. Elasticity can differ by price range and time period.

What makes demand price-sensitive?

Demand is more price elastic when customers can readily alter or postpone purchase; it is more inelastic when alternatives and adjustment are limited.

Factor More elastic when... More inelastic when...
substitutes many close alternatives are visible the product has a strong USP or loyalty
necessity purchase is optional/luxury purchase is essential or habitual
income share it consumes a large budget share it is a small expense
time customers have time to search and adjust response is immediate
market definition product is narrowly defined category is broad with few outside alternatives

Branding and differentiation can reduce substitutability, while online comparison can increase it. The relevant PED belongs to a particular product, customer group, price range and period—not to the entire industry forever.

A high price alone does not determine elasticity. What matters is the percentage response and the customer's alternatives, budget, urgency and time to adapt.

Use PED as a pricing forecast, not a guarantee

PED helps estimate how a price change may affect sales volume and revenue, but a profitable pricing decision also depends on costs, capacity, competitors and strategic aims.

Estimated demand Price rise, other things equal Price cut, other things equal
inelastic quantity falls proportionally less; revenue tends to rise quantity rises proportionally less; revenue tends to fall
elastic quantity falls proportionally more; revenue tends to fall quantity rises proportionally more; revenue tends to rise
unit elastic revenue is approximately unchanged revenue is approximately unchanged

Revenue is price × quantity, not profit. A cut that raises revenue can still reduce profit if the extra units have high variable cost or capacity is constrained. A price rise may damage loyalty or invite entry even when short-run demand is inelastic.

Historic PED is an estimate, not a constant. Rival reactions, promotions, changing incomes, segmentation and the size of the proposed price change can make the actual response different.

PED links price change to total revenue

Total revenue (TR) equals price multiplied by quantity sold. PED predicts whether the quantity response is proportionally large enough to offset a price change.

TR=price×quantitysoldTR = price × quantity sold

PED magnitude Price rises Price falls
inelastic, PED < 1
unit elastic, PED = 1
elastic, PED > 1

A price rises 8% and PED is −0.5. Estimated quantity falls 4%, so the proportional price increase is larger than the volume loss and revenue is likely to rise. This is a directional estimate; exact revenue can be calculated only with actual prices and quantities.

Higher revenue is not automatically higher profit. Cost per unit, total variable cost, capacity use, brand effects and competitor responses must be added before judging the business outcome.

Calculate income elasticity of demand

Income elasticity of demand (YED) measures how quantity demanded responds to a change in consumer income.

YED=YED = % change in quantity demanded / % change in consumer income

Calculate both percentage changes from their original values, keep their signs, then divide. Example: income rises 4% and weekly sales rise from 1,000 to 1,120, a 12% increase. YED = 12% ÷ 4% = +3.0.

A positive result indicates a normal good; +3.0 means demand is income elastic and rises three times as fast as income in this estimate. A negative result indicates an inferior good because demand moves opposite to income.

YED is not caused by the product's price and is not a permanent label. It can differ across income groups, countries, stages of development and time periods.

Normal and inferior describe income response

A normal good has positive YED: demand rises when income rises. An inferior good has negative YED: demand falls as customers switch to preferred alternatives when income rises.

Income rises Normal good Inferior good
demand direction rises falls
YED sign positive negative
possible customer logic greater purchasing power supports more or better consumption customers replace the lower-priority option
business implication growth can accompany rising incomes downturns may increase demand, while growth can reduce it

The classification belongs to a product for a particular consumer group. Basic transport may be inferior for higher-income commuters who switch to private travel, yet normal for another group. Evidence must show the actual income-demand relationship.

Inferior does not mean poor quality, and normal does not mean essential. These are behavioural elasticity classifications, not judgments about the product.

Read YED's sign and size

YED's sign classifies the income relationship; its magnitude shows how strongly demand responds.

YED value Interpretation
negative inferior good: income and demand move in opposite directions
0 to +1 normal, income-inelastic: demand moves less than income
+1 unit income elasticity
above +1 normal, income-elastic: demand moves more than income, often associated with discretionary/luxury purchase

If YED = +0.6 and income rises 5%, estimated demand rises 3% because 0.6 × 5% = 3%. If income instead falls 5%, the same estimate predicts demand falls 3%, assuming other demand conditions remain constant.

Do not use absolute value to erase YED's sign: unlike PED, the sign carries the normal/inferior classification. Magnitude and classification may change across the income range.

YED changes with customers and context

Income responsiveness depends on how customers rank the product as purchasing power changes. It is therefore shaped by the product, consumer group, income level and available alternatives.

Factor Why YED may differ
necessity versus discretionary purchase necessities usually take priority; luxuries expand faster when income rises
income level the same product can move from aspirational to routine or inferior as customers become wealthier
substitutes and quality tiers rising income enables switching to premium alternatives
time horizon customers need time to alter contracts, habits or durable purchases
geography and culture living costs, infrastructure and preferences change spending priorities
market definition a narrow premium brand can have different YED from its broad category

A product is not universally income elastic or inferior. YED is an estimate for a defined market and period; structural change or a new customer segment requires new evidence.

Use YED to plan for income change

YED helps businesses forecast how economic growth or recession may change demand, then align capacity, product mix, inventory, finance and marketing with plausible scenarios.

YED pattern If incomes rise If incomes fall
high positive demand may grow faster; secure capacity and supply demand may contract sharply; protect cash and avoid excess stock
low positive modest change; stable planning may suit modest decline
negative demand may fall as customers trade up demand may rise as customers trade down

A multi-product business can combine offers with different income responses, target regions with different growth and stress-test forecasts. The coefficient converts an income forecast into an estimated percentage demand change, not an exact sales total without a baseline.

YED is one input. Prices, tastes, demographics, rivals, exchange rates and shocks can move demand simultaneously, while income forecasts and historic elasticities may both be wrong.