Question 1
Study the extract below and answer the questions that follow.
Fast-growing Turkish economy showing signs of overheating
(1) The impressive economic growth that Turkey has enjoyed from 2010-2012 may soon come to an end, as the country's economy shows signs of overheating. Although officials are still optimistic, economists are concerned about the inflationary gap, and note that the growing current account deficit makes Turkey vulnerable.
(2) At the crossroads of Europe and the Middle East, Turkey has benefitted from a boom in foreign investment and trade, and has been one of the engines of global growth from 2010-2012. The economy grew by 8.9 % in 2010 - one of the highest in the world - and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) expects it to have grown by a further 7.4 \% in 2011.
(3) However, analysts warn that the current growth rate is unlikely to last. "What GDP growth rates don't reveal is that the Turkish economy is now showing signs of overheating," said an economist at Capital Economics. The fast economic growth of 2010-2012 "was accompanied by a rapid widening of the current account deficit," which has jumped to 10 % of its GDP.
(4) "What is more, from 2010-2012, the current account deficit has mostly been financed with short-term borrowing, which means Turkey is facing a heavy external debt service burden of $ 135 billion (101 billion euros) in the period 2012-2013," warned the chief economist at Finansbank.
(5) Turkey's current account deficit, which surged from just over 2 % of GDP in 2009, is partially due to the rise in oil prices. Since Turkey is a large net oil importer, it is clearly worse off from higher oil prices. Turkey's net energy imports were equivalent to around 6 % of GDP in 2011 - accounting for over half of the total current account deficit of 10 % of GDP.
(6) There is more to Turkey's current account shortfall than simply the high cost of energy imports. The deficit has also widened due to rapidly rising domestic demand, suggesting that a period of weaker domestic demand is needed to put the current account on a sustainable footing.
(7) A financial services ratings agency warned recently that the high current account deficit makes Turkey vulnerable to sudden financial account outflows. There are concerns about the difficulty of attracting capital inflows to fund the current account deficit.
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'Fast-growing Turkish economy showing signs of overheating'; April 02, 2012; By Fulya Ozerkan]
Question 1(b)
With reference to the concept of price elasticity of demand, explain why rising oil prices have contributed to Turkey's growing current account deficit (paragraph (5).





