2.4.1—Climate vs. weather

Syllabus
First assessment 2026
Objective
2.4.1
Level
HL

Use the Time Window to Separate Weather from Climate

Weather is the atmosphere now or soon; climate is the pattern of weather measured over many years.

Classify a claim by its time window and statistics. A single observation describes weather; a long-term average, trend or frequency describes climate.

Today’s 35°C is weather; a 30-year rise in average summer temperature is climate evidence.

A single unusual day is one weather observation; a climate claim requires a long record of averages, trends or event frequencies.

Climate is not ‘the weather somewhere else’; it is a long-term distribution of weather.