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IB Economics HL 4.5.4 Fixed exchange rates Question Bank

Practise IB Economics SL/HL 4.5.4 by applying fixed exchange rates concepts to exam-style questions.

Syllabus
First assessment 2022
Course
Economics HL
Level
HL

Exam points

  • identify the relevant model, concept or evidence
  • apply the correct subject framework to the question
  • evaluate the result using clear evidence and subject terminology

4.5.4—Fixed exchange rates question 1

[Maximum number: 10]

Study the extract below and answer the questions that follow.
Gulf banks debating currency peg to US dollars

(1) Qatar's central bank suggests some Gulf States* should consider moving from a fixed exchange rate, with their currencies pegged to the US dollar, to a floating exchange rate system. Bankers and economists throughout the region are debating this issue.

(2) Qatar's central bank governor said the country planned no change to its peg to the dollar, with the exchange rate now fixed at QAR3.64/US$1. However, "with increasing integration in international trade, services, and asset markets, a higher degree of exchange rate flexibility may become more desirable" he said. Qatar is battling against higher rates of inflation in 2013. Inflation is at the highest level since 2009.

(3) Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have pegged their currencies to the dollar for decades. They have been able to do this because their inflation rates have been low and stable, and they have had substantial oil export revenues giving them large reserves of foreign currency.

(4) As a result there has been no need to change official exchange rates, said the chief economist at National Bank of Abu Dhabi: "Fixing the currency gives stability and visibility for business contracts". There are good arguments for pegging the currency to the US dollar. However, it can result in imported inflation from other economies. In 2007, the US was cutting interest rates. This meant that, in order to maintain the fixed exchange rate, the UAE also had to cut its interest rates. This was at a time when the UAE was booming and experiencing high inflation.

(5) Currently there is no pressure on the pegged rate and if necessary a central bank can revalue or devalue its currency when required. It is commonly agreed that the best time to change a fixed currency regime is when there is no pressure.

(6) A senior economist at a commercial bank agrees that the UAE should consider dropping its currency peg to the US dollar and moving to a floating exchange rate for the dirham (the UAE currency). He says that the US dollar's weakness relative to other currencies was a positive stimulus for economic growth. However, growth in the UAE is already quite strong and so having its currency pegged to a weak currency could harm the economy by leading to higher inflation. http://www.albawaba.com/business/qatars-currency-peg-here-stay-514355, 'Qatar's currency peg here to stay', 18 August 2013, permission conveyed through Copyright Clearance Center, Inc. Extracts from The National, Abu Dhabi: http://www.thenational.ae/business/industry-insights/finance/uae-should-drop-dirhams-
peg-to-us-dollar-says-economist\#ixzz2cfjYpl71, 22 November 2011 http://www.thenational.ae/business/industry-insights/economics/gulf-banks-debating-currency-peg-to-us-dollar\#ixzz2cfivZBbz, 7 June 2013]
* Gulf States: include Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates

Question (a)

(a)

Define the term fixed exchange rate indicated in bold in the text (paragraph (1)).

[ 2 ]

Question (b)

(b)

Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how the United Arab Emirates (UAE) could maintain a fixed value of its dirham to the US dollar if there were upward pressure on the dirham.

[ 4 ]

Question (c)

(c)

Distinguish between a devaluation and a depreciation of a currency.

[ 4 ]
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