IB Economics HL 4.5.4 Fixed exchange rates Question Bank
Practise IB Economics SL/HL 4.5.4 by applying fixed exchange rates concepts to exam-style questions.
- Syllabus
- First assessment 2022
- Course
- Economics HL
- Level
- HL
Practise IB Economics SL/HL 4.5.4 by applying fixed exchange rates concepts to exam-style questions.
Study the extract below and answer the questions that follow.
Gulf banks debating currency peg to US dollars
(1) Qatar's central bank suggests some Gulf States* should consider moving from a fixed exchange rate, with their currencies pegged to the US dollar, to a floating exchange rate system. Bankers and economists throughout the region are debating this issue.
(2) Qatar's central bank governor said the country planned no change to its peg to the dollar, with the exchange rate now fixed at QAR3.64/US$1. However, "with increasing integration in international trade, services, and asset markets, a higher degree of exchange rate flexibility may become more desirable" he said. Qatar is battling against higher rates of inflation in 2013. Inflation is at the highest level since 2009.
(3) Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have pegged their currencies to the dollar for decades. They have been able to do this because their inflation rates have been low and stable, and they have had substantial oil export revenues giving them large reserves of foreign currency.
(4) As a result there has been no need to change official exchange rates, said the chief economist at National Bank of Abu Dhabi: "Fixing the currency gives stability and visibility for business contracts". There are good arguments for pegging the currency to the US dollar. However, it can result in imported inflation from other economies. In 2007, the US was cutting interest rates. This meant that, in order to maintain the fixed exchange rate, the UAE also had to cut its interest rates. This was at a time when the UAE was booming and experiencing high inflation.
(5) Currently there is no pressure on the pegged rate and if necessary a central bank can revalue or devalue its currency when required. It is commonly agreed that the best time to change a fixed currency regime is when there is no pressure.
(6) A senior economist at a commercial bank agrees that the UAE should consider dropping its currency peg to the US dollar and moving to a floating exchange rate for the dirham (the UAE currency). He says that the US dollar's weakness relative to other currencies was a positive stimulus for economic growth. However, growth in the UAE is already quite strong and so having its currency pegged to a weak currency could harm the economy by leading to higher inflation. http://www.albawaba.com/business/qatars-currency-peg-here-stay-514355, 'Qatar's currency peg here to stay', 18 August 2013, permission conveyed through Copyright Clearance Center, Inc. Extracts from The National, Abu Dhabi: http://www.thenational.ae/business/industry-insights/finance/uae-should-drop-dirhams-
peg-to-us-dollar-says-economist\#ixzz2cfjYpl71, 22 November 2011 http://www.thenational.ae/business/industry-insights/economics/gulf-banks-debating-currency-peg-to-us-dollar\#ixzz2cfivZBbz, 7 June 2013]
* Gulf States: include Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates
Define the term fixed exchange rate indicated in bold in the text (paragraph (1)).
Level ..... Marks
0 The work does not reach a standard described by the descriptors below. ..... 0
1 Vague definition. ..... 1
The idea that a country's currency is fixed by the government (central bank).
2 Accurate definition. ..... 2
An explanation that a currency's value is fixed against any one of the following:
- the value of another currency
- a basket of other currencies
- gold.
Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how the United Arab Emirates (UAE) could maintain a fixed value of its dirham to the US dollar if there were upward pressure on the dirham.
Level
0 The work does not reach a standard described by the descriptors below.
1 There is a correct diagram or an accurate written response.
For drawing a correctly labelled currency diagram showing a fixed exchange rate value, an equilibrium above the fixed value and an increase in the supply curve to return the currency to the fixed value or for explaining that if the currency goes above its fixed value, the central bank (government/UAE) will have to intervene and sell its currency (buy foreign currency) to restore the fixed value of the currency.
2 There is a correct diagram and an accurate written response.
For drawing a correctly labelled currency diagram showing a fixed exchange rate value, an equilibrium above the fixed value and an increase in the supply curve to return the currency to the fixed value and for explaining that if the currency goes above its fixed value, the central bank (government/UAE) will have to intervene and sell its currency (buy foreign currency) to restore the fixed value of the currency.
An alternative correct answer is for the diagram to show a decrease in demand for the dirham to return the currency to its fixed value, with an explanation that the central bank can lower interest rates, making financial investments in the UAE less attractive, thus causing a fall in the demand for the dirham. If correctly explained a diagram showing a decrease in demand should be fully rewarded with a maximum of [4].


Candidates who incorrectly label diagrams can be rewarded with a maximum of [3].
For an exchange rate diagram, the vertical axis may be exchange rate, price of dirham in US$, US$/dirham, dirham/US$, or US dollars per dirham. The horizontal axis should be quantity, or quantity of dirham. A title is not necessary.
N . B. The cause of the increase in the dirham's value may or may not be shown.
Distinguish between a devaluation and a depreciation of a currency.
0 The work does not reach a standard described by the descriptors below.
1 There is limited understanding.
A devaluation is the deliberate downward adjustment of the official exchange rate by the central bank (government) to reduce the currency's value in a fixed exchange rate system or in contrast, a depreciation is a fall in the value of a currency due to market forces in a floating exchange rate system.
2 There is clear understanding.
A devaluation is the deliberate downward adjustment of the official exchange rate by the central bank (government) to reduce the currency's value in a fixed exchange rate system and in contrast, a depreciation is a fall in the value of a currency due to market forces in a floating exchange rate system.