IB Economics HL 1.2 How Do Economists Approach the World? Question Bank

Study the extract and data below and answer the questions that follow.
Ecuador sees 2014 trade deficit falling with new import rules, but at what cost?

(1) In the period from January to May 2014, Ecuador posted a trade surplus of US$483 million, moving from a deficit of US$626 million one year before.

(2) The government has been implementing an import-substitution policy to reduce the trade deficit. On 4 December 2013, Ecuador's Foreign Trade Committee established new quality control measures for the importation of 293 items, including cosmetics, toys, toothpaste, meat and cereals. In order for goods on the list to be imported a certificate needs to be obtained, ensuring that the products meet quality control standards. There are up to 13 steps to be taken before a product may enter as a result of the excessive regulations holding up the certificates.

(3) The import-substitution policy also involves a move to provide support to domestic industries. The president firmly believes in the benefits of sheltering infant industries. He has complained about imports such as coconut water, banana puree or cornflakes, which he believes could be produced by domestic industries, supported by appropriate policies. In addition, he points out that Ecuador is a top exporter of fine aroma cocoa, but imports approximately US $\$ 25$ million worth of chocolate per year. Other measures to protect domestic industries include anti-dumping measures and higher tariffs on raw materials and capital equipment that are available in Ecuador.

(4) In the month since this intervention started, different businesses have begun to feel both the advantages and disadvantages. Pica, one of the largest companies in the plastic industry, has taken advantage of the policy. The reduction in the importation of certain products has allowed them to increase their own production.
5 In contrast, Toni Industries, one of the most important dairy businesses in the country has suffered. It has complained that cornflakes, which the company uses as a complementary good to one of its key products, could not get through customs because it did not have the quality control certificate.

(6) Many industry analysts and economists argue that closing off imports will isolate the country and create a false sense of competitiveness. They are also concerned that the government seems to be assuming that other countries will not react. Some argue that the government should seek to create incentives for investment, like tax benefits, or legal security, which would allow the entry of new competitors into the Ecuadorean markets.

www.latinvex.com, 19 March 2014 and www.blogs.wsj.com, 14 July 2014]

Using a definition of the term ceteris paribus, explain why it is necessary to include this assumption in part (b).

Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Text A - Overview of Tanzania

(1) Tanzania is one of Africa's fastest growing economies with an average of 7 % annual economic growth since 2000. It is a politically stable country, rich in wildlife and natural resources. However, the growth has been concentrated in urban manufacturing, using capital intensive production. The benefits from this growth have not reached all people and significant inequalities exist between urban and rural areas. Although the relative poverty rate has fallen over the last 15 years, the number of people living in absolute poverty has increased.

(2) Most people are employed in the slow-growing agricultural sector that relies on unskilled labour. Although incomes increased from 2008 to 2018, the demand for agricultural goods only increased by 21 % during this time period. Over 70 % of Tanzania's population lives in rural areas, relying on subsistence farming with limited tradable crops. Only 30 % of land is being used for agricultural production. With investment, the remaining unused land could be developed and generate income for farmers.

(3) The rural sector struggles to meet Tanzania's food requirements due to low levels of skilled labour and productivity. Additionally, high youth unemployment leads to large numbers of unskilled rural youth migrating to the cities, often finding employment in the informal sector where wages and working conditions are poor. Insufficient investment and lack of government support for diversifying the agriculture sector have been blamed for the persistent inequalities and poverty.

(4) Tanzania's cities have experienced a growing middle class with strong purchasing power and political influence who have placed demands on the government for cheaper electricity, better infrastructure, and more imported goods. In response, the government provided subsidies for electricity in city centres and tax benefits to foreign companies operating in Tanzania. There is concern that these measures may worsen inequality and lead to social unrest.

(5) The growth of Tanzania's manufacturing and service sector was funded through aid and large government borrowing, resulting in high national debt. Most of the government borrowing was from foreign sources and in US dollars (US$), which is a concern due to a recent depreciation of the Tanzanian shilling (Tanzania's currency) against the US$. Some of the debt was borrowed domestically and placed upward pressure on interest rates. Higher interest rates have resulted in crowding out but helped keep inflation under control.
Text B - Strategies and opportunities for Tanzania

(1) Previous governments have used interventionist supply-side policies to improve access to water, education, and health services. However, the health service improvements are not keeping up with population growth and many young people are still not completing secondary school. Infrastructure has improved, but it is still insufficient as producers in the rural sector find it difficult to reach markets and access supplies.

(2) Aid organizations are currently supporting new sustainable businesses in rural areas through training programmes, especially for women and young people, who make up most of the unemployed in rural areas. Economists have advised the government to improve access to credit through microfinance organizations and to simplify regulations to make it easier to start new businesses.

(3) The government is establishing property rights in rural areas to provide security for farmers. Historically, farmers could easily lose their land, which reduced their incentive to invest in productive farming methods. The government wants to develop Tanzania's land resources and lower its reliance on imported food. To reduce food imports, a subsidy will be granted to dairy farmers to allow them to compete against imported dairy products.

(4) Tanzania is a member of the East African Community (EAC) customs union and common market. However, Tanzania needs to improve human capital and encourage diversification so that the benefits of regional integration can reach the poor. These policies can also help attract foreign direct investment (FDI). Opportunities for growth through trade will expand as the EAC works towards becoming a monetary union in 2024.
Text C - Oil pipeline to be constructed
Tanzania and Uganda plan to construct a major oil pipeline from Uganda through Tanzania, ending at a port in Tanzania. This will attract FDI which could help fund infrastructure and generate jobs. However, environmentalists are concerned about potential ecological damage due to the waste created during the construction of the pipeline. Economists have suggested the waste could be avoided through a circular economy approach in the planning and construction stage.

* Estimate

Define the term circular economy indicated in bold (Text C).