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5.3.2—Probability rules

Syllabus
9709–2028–2029
Objective
5.3.2
Level
A2

Probability rules combine events without double-counting their overlap

P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B), P(Aᶜ)=1−P(A), and P(A|B)=P(A∩B)/P(B) when P(B)>0.

Draw a Venn diagram or tree when events overlap, and identify the denominator in conditional probability before substituting numbers.

If P(A)=0.6, P(B)=0.5 and P(A∩B)=0.2, then P(A∪B)=0.9.

Adding P(A) and P(B) without subtracting overlap can exceed 1.

ConceptA-Level CAIE Mathematics A2