6. International economic issues
- Syllabus
- 9708–2026–2027
- Section
- 6
- Level
- AS
| Idea | Comparison | Decision rule |
|---|---|---|
| Absolute advantage | Output from the same resources, or resources needed for the same output | More output or fewer inputs |
| Comparative advantage | Opportunity cost of one good in terms of the other | Lower opportunity cost |
For each producer, calculate the opportunity cost of 1 unit of each good. If all resources make 30 X or 60 Y, then 1 X costs 2 Y and 1 Y costs 0.5 X. Compare the same good across producers; the lower ratio identifies comparative advantage.
Country A can make 30 X or 60 Y; Country B can make 20 X or 20 Y. A has absolute advantage in both. Yet A's cost of 1 Y is 0.5 X and B's is 1 X, so A has comparative advantage in Y; B's cost of 1 X is 1 Y versus A's 2 Y, so B has comparative advantage in X.
Both can gain only if the trading rate lies between their opportunity costs. Here, 1 X must exchange for more than 1 Y for B to gain and less than 2 Y for A to gain.
Do not choose specialisation from absolute output alone. If opportunity-cost ratios are equal, neither country has comparative advantage and the simple model gives no gain from trade.
The gain-from-trade sequence is: different opportunity costs → specialisation according to comparative advantage → greater combined output or lower resource cost → exchange at a rate between opportunity-cost ratios → consumption possibilities beyond the country's own production possibility curve (PPC).
| Curve | What it shows | How to read it |
|---|---|---|
| PPC | Maximum combinations the country can produce with its own resources | A point outside is not domestically producible now |
| Trading possibility curve (TPC) | Combinations it can consume after specialising and exchanging output at the given terms of trade | A point beyond the PPC can be consumed, not produced domestically |
Potential benefits include better resource allocation, greater world output, economies of scale and learning, lower prices, stronger competition, wider choice, larger export markets and higher average living standards. Trade liberalisation removes barriers that prevent these exchanges.
Gains are larger when opportunity-cost differences are substantial, the exchange rate lies between the ratios, and transport and other trade costs are low. They can be reduced by barriers, adjustment costs, weak mobility, market concentration or dependence on a narrow export market.
Aggregate gains do not mean every firm, worker, region or country gains immediately. Import-competing jobs can fall, income distribution can worsen, and over-specialisation can increase exposure to external shocks.
Terms of trade (TOT) index = (export price index ÷ import price index) × 100. A rise is an improvement: export prices have risen relative to import prices, so a given volume of exports can purchase more imports. A fall is a deterioration.
Use index ratios, not changes in trade values or volumes. If export prices are 150 and import prices are 125 relative to the base year, TOT = 150 ÷ 125 × 100 = 120: a 20% improvement from the base index of 100.
| Channel | Likely improvement | Likely deterioration |
|---|---|---|
| Exchange rate | Appreciation tends to raise foreign-currency export prices and lower domestic import prices | Depreciation tends to do the reverse |
| Demand for exports | Stronger demand can raise export prices | Weaker demand can lower them |
| Supply/productivity | Restricted export supply can raise export prices | Higher productivity or export subsidy may lower export prices |
| Relative inflation | Domestic export prices rising faster than import prices | Trading-partner/import prices rising faster |
| Commodity prices | Higher prices improve TOT for a commodity exporter | Higher prices worsen TOT for an importer |
| TOT movement | Possible benefits | Possible costs | Key condition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Improvement | Greater import purchasing power; cheaper imported inputs; lower cost-push inflation | Weaker export competitiveness; more imports; possible lower output/employment or current-account deterioration | PED of exports/imports, cause of the change and trade dependence |
| Deterioration | Stronger export competitiveness; possible higher export volume and employment | Less import purchasing power; dearer imported inputs; cost-push inflation and lower living standards | Elasticities, import dependence and whether export prices fell because demand weakened |
TOT measures relative prices, while the balance of trade/current account depends on export and import values. An improvement does not guarantee a current-account improvement: higher export prices may reduce export volume, and cheaper imports may increase import demand.
Absolute and comparative advantage provide a benchmark: with different opportunity costs, specialisation and exchange at a mutually beneficial rate can increase combined output and consumption. Whether the predicted gain occurs depends on the model's assumptions.
| Simplifying assumption | Real-world limitation and consequence |
|---|---|
| Two goods/countries and known, constant opportunity costs | Many products, changing technology, factor endowments, government policy and increasing costs can alter comparative advantage |
| No transport or transaction costs | High freight, insurance, border and information costs can exceed the opportunity-cost gain |
| Free trade and competitive markets | Tariffs, quotas, subsidies, monopoly power or dumping distort prices and trade patterns |
| Resources move smoothly between domestic uses | Occupational/geographical immobility and time lags create structural unemployment and adjustment costs |
| Private prices reflect social costs and benefits | Pollution, resource depletion and other externalities can make apparent efficiency socially costly |
| Aggregate gains are sufficient | Gains may be unequal; over-specialisation creates commodity, demand and supply-shock dependence; strategic or infant industries may matter |
Evaluate significance, not just number of limitations. Compare the size of the opportunity-cost gap with trade and adjustment costs, the time horizon, market structure, distribution and whether policy can reduce the constraint. A limitation can shrink or redistribute gains without removing every gain from trade.
International immobility of factors is not itself a contradiction: trade in goods can substitute for factor movement. The relevant adjustment problem is whether labour and capital can move between industries within the country. Nor does one country having absolute advantage in all goods eliminate comparative advantage.
Protectionism is deliberate government intervention in international trade that restricts imports or supports domestic/exporting firms so that domestic producers gain an advantage over foreign competitors.
| Situation | Protectionism? | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Import tariff, quota or ban | Yes | It directly makes foreign supply dearer or less available |
| Export subsidy for domestic firms | Yes | It lowers their effective cost in world markets |
| Safety rule applied proportionately to all suppliers | Not necessarily | Its purpose may be consumer protection rather than shielding domestic output |
| Excessive or discriminatory paperwork for imports | Yes | Compliance delay/cost acts as a trade barrier |
Dumping means selling in an overseas market below production cost, or below the price charged in the exporter's home market. A low import price alone is not proof: it may reflect genuine lower opportunity cost or productivity, so costs and domestic prices must be examined.
Protectionism describes how government alters competition; it does not by itself show that the policy is justified or that the whole economy benefits. Tools and their evaluation follow separately.
| Tool | Mechanism | Main domestic effects | Distinct cost or limit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Import tariff | Tax raises import price | Domestic supply rises, consumption/imports fall; producer surplus and government revenue rise | Consumer surplus falls; imported-input costs and inflation may rise |
| Import quota | Legal limit on import volume/value/share | Scarcity raises domestic price and protects a known quantity | Licence holders receive quota rents; little/no government revenue unless licences are sold |
| Export subsidy | Payment/tax relief lowers exporters' effective cost | Supply/output and exports can rise; export price may fall | Government spending/opportunity cost; retaliation and distorted efficiency |
| Embargo | Complete ban on specified trade | Imports from the target fall to zero; domestic/alternative supply replaces them | Strong price/choice effects, evasion, corruption or retaliation |
| Excessive administrative burdens ('red tape') | Delays, tests or paperwork raise import compliance cost | Import supply shifts left; domestic firms gain relative protection | Opaque, costly to enforce; can also improve genuine quality/safety |
For a tariff diagram: begin at the world price; add the tariff to obtain the higher domestic price; read lower domestic demand, higher domestic supply and a smaller import gap; tariff revenue equals tariff per unit × post-tariff imports. Removing the tariff reverses each change.
A binding quota fixes the permitted import quantity, so rising demand raises the domestic price rather than imports. A tariff keeps a tax wedge but lets import quantity respond. A higher quota is liberalisation: it increases imports and tends to lower domestic price.
Impact depends on PED/PES, access to alternative suppliers or markets, domestic capacity, whether imports are necessities or production inputs, enforcement, policy size and retaliation. Price-elastic import demand makes a tariff more likely to reduce import expenditure; inelastic demand weakens that result.
Do not treat all tools as tariffs. Quotas create rents rather than automatic tax revenue; an embargo is a total ban; export subsidies protect through domestic cost support; an import subsidy would encourage imports and is not a protectionist tool.
| Argument for protection | Intended gain | Main challenge |
|---|---|---|
| Infant/sunrise industry | Time to learn, gain scale and develop comparative advantage | Government may pick failures; shelter may become permanent |
| Declining/sunset industry | Time for workers and capital to adjust | Delays necessary reallocation and prolongs inefficiency |
| Strategic industry/security | Retain essential domestic capacity | Higher cost must be weighed against the security value |
| Anti-dumping/unfair subsidy | Prevent predatory or distorted foreign competition | Low price may reflect real efficiency; evidence of below-cost/unfair support is needed |
| Employment and regional stability | Raise domestic output and protect jobs | Input-using/export industries and consumers may lose; retaliation can destroy other jobs |
| Current-account improvement | Reduce import spending or support exports | Depends on elasticities, domestic substitutes and retaliation |
| Government revenue | Tariffs can fund public spending | Consumers pay through higher prices; other tools may cost revenue |
The case against protection follows the gains from free trade: comparative-advantage specialisation, greater world output, lower prices, wider choice, competitive pressure and access to larger markets. Protection creates deadweight loss, weakens efficiency incentives, may raise cost-push inflation and invites retaliation or a trade war.
Domestic protected producers and some workers may gain producer surplus and employment. Consumers usually pay more and buy less; downstream firms lose when protected imports are inputs. Government may gain tariff revenue but pays subsidies and enforcement costs. Foreign exporters and workers lose sales, while licence holders may capture quota rents.
A defensible judgement states the context and compares net effects: Is the industry genuinely infant, strategic or unfairly targeted? Is protection temporary, targeted and conditional on productivity? Are substitutes and adjustment support available? How elastic is demand, and how likely is retaliation? Developing and high-income economies can answer these questions differently.
Counting only visible jobs saved is incomplete. Include consumer surplus, jobs and costs in input-using/export sectors, fiscal opportunity cost, long-run efficiency and foreign response. Protection can be justified in a specific case without making protectionism generally superior to free trade.
| Component | What crosses the border | Credit example | Debit example |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trade in goods | Physical products | Machinery exported | Food imported |
| Trade in services | Intangible services | Spending by foreign tourists at home | Residents' holidays abroad |
| Primary income | Returns to labour or capital owned across borders | Interest, profit, dividend, rent or wages received from abroad | Equivalent income paid abroad |
| Secondary income | Transfers with no direct good/service/factor return | Aid or remittances received | Aid or remittances sent abroad |
The current-account balance is total current-account credits minus total debits. Credits are receipts from abroad; debits are payments abroad. A positive balance is a surplus, a negative balance is a deficit, and zero is balance.
A foreign government paying a domestic university to educate its students is a service export and credit. A resident receiving dividends from foreign shares is primary-income credit. A government donation abroad is secondary-income debit.
The current account is not just visible trade in goods. Use the current syllabus terms primary income and secondary income; older sources may call secondary income current transfers.
| Required calculation | Formula |
|---|---|
| Balance of trade in goods | Goods exports - goods imports |
| Balance of trade in services | Service exports - service imports |
| Balance of trade in goods and services | Goods balance + services balance |
| Current-account balance (CAB) | Goods balance + services balance + primary-income balance + secondary-income balance |
Treat exports and receipts as positive credits and imports and payments as negative debits. If a table already gives a balance, preserve its sign. If it gives separate flows, subtract the debit before combining components.
Goods exports 90 and imports 120 give -30. Service exports 50 and imports 35 give +15. With primary income -8 and secondary income +3: CAB = -30 + 15 - 8 + 3 = -20, a current-account deficit of 20.
Name the result precisely: a movement from -40 to -20 is a smaller or declining deficit, not a surplus. Trade in goods and services alone cannot determine CAB unless primary and secondary income are also known.
| Cause | Likely current-account channel |
|---|---|
| Faster domestic growth/rising incomes | Imports rise and exports may be diverted home; deficit pressure |
| Higher inflation than competitors or low productivity | Exports lose price competitiveness and imports become relatively attractive |
| Appreciation/overvalued currency | Exports become dearer and imports cheaper; effect depends on elasticities |
| Depreciation/undervalued currency | Opposite price effect; may support surplus, but elasticities and time matter |
| Higher essential commodity/import prices | Import expenditure rises, especially with inelastic demand |
| Foreign recession, trade barriers or changed tastes | Export demand/revenue falls |
| Income and transfer changes | Lower investment income/remittances/aid received, or higher payments abroad, worsen CAB |
| Export productivity, subsidies or strong partner growth | Export volume/revenue can rise and improve CAB |
Separate cyclical causes from structural ones. A temporary demand boom or commodity-price spike may reverse; persistent low productivity, narrow export dependence, weak non-price competitiveness or an overvalued currency can sustain an imbalance.
One change can work in two directions. Falling unemployment raises income and imports, but it can also raise domestic output and exports. Decide which channel dominates from spare capacity, productivity, import propensity, elasticities and the time period.
A deficit is not only 'buying too many foreign goods': services, primary income and secondary income also count. Nor does a surplus prove high productivity; it may reflect weak domestic demand or an undervalued currency.
| Imbalance | Domestic economy | External economy |
|---|---|---|
| Deficit | Lower net exports can reduce AD, growth and jobs; cheaper imports may raise living standards or supply productive capital; depreciation can create imported inflation | Downward exchange-rate pressure; need for capital inflows/borrowing or reserve use; possible debt interest, confidence and financing vulnerability |
| Surplus | Higher net exports can raise AD, output and jobs but may cause demand-pull inflation; if caused by recession/weak imports it may accompany low welfare and employment | Upward exchange-rate pressure and accumulation of foreign assets/reserves; partners face deficits and may retaliate |
A deficit must be matched elsewhere in the balance of payments by net financial/capital inflows or reserve changes. Productive foreign direct investment financing capital imports is less concerning than unstable short-term borrowing used for consumption, although neither outcome is guaranteed.
The cause changes the verdict. A deficit caused by investment imports may expand future productive capacity; one caused by persistent uncompetitiveness is more vulnerable. A surplus driven by strong export productivity differs from one caused by a domestic recession suppressing imports.
Do not judge from the sign alone. Evaluate size relative to national income, duration, cause, import/export composition, spare capacity, elasticities, financing quality, debt and reserve position, confidence and trading-partner response.
An exchange rate is the price of one currency expressed in units of another. In £1 = US$1.30, sterling is the base currency and dollars are the quote currency: one pound buys 1.30 dollars.
State the quote before interpreting or converting. If £1 = €1.20 and €1 = US1.40,then£1=1.20×1.40=US1.68. Reverse a quote by taking its reciprocal.
| Rate | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Nominal exchange rate | Currency-for-currency market quotation in money terms |
| Real exchange rate | Nominal rate adjusted for relative price levels; indicates relative purchasing power/competitiveness |
A larger number means the base currency buys more quote currency only under the stated quotation. Do not call a currency stronger without naming the other currency and direction.
In a floating exchange-rate system, the market equilibrium exchange rate is set where demand for a currency equals its supply in the foreign-exchange market, rather than at a fixed official parity.
On a diagram, put the price/exchange rate of the named currency on the vertical axis and quantity traded on the horizontal axis. Downward-sloping demand and upward-sloping supply meet at the equilibrium rate; a shortage pushes the rate up and a surplus pushes it down.
| Floating rate | Fixed rate |
|---|---|
| Market demand and supply determine the rate | Government/central bank targets an official rate |
| Can adjust automatically but may fluctuate and create uncertainty | Offers predictability but may require reserves, interest changes or controls |
| Leaves more monetary-policy independence | Policy may be constrained by defending the rate |
Floating does not mean random or untouched by policy. Interest decisions, reserve intervention and controls can shift demand or supply even when no official parity is fixed; the causes belong to the later objective.
| Movement of the named floating currency | Quote example (£1 = US$...) | First-round price effect |
|---|---|---|
| Appreciation: value rises | 1.20 → 1.30 | Foreign goods/imports cheaper in pounds; UK exports dearer in dollars |
| Depreciation: value falls | 1.20 → 1.10 | Imports dearer in pounds; UK exports cheaper in dollars |
For an inverted quote such as ringgit per US dollar, a rise from RM3.1 to RM4.2 per dollar means the dollar appreciates and the ringgit depreciates: more ringgit are needed to buy one dollar.
| Market system | Rise | Fall |
|---|---|---|
| Floating rate | Appreciation | Depreciation |
| Fixed/managed official change | Revaluation | Devaluation |
These terms describe a bilateral value change, not a guaranteed current-account result. Quantities, elasticities, contracts and time determine the later trade response.
Use four links: economic change → reason people need or sell the currency → demand or supply curve shift → appreciation or depreciation at the new floating-market equilibrium.
| Change | Currency-market shift | Likely rate movement |
|---|---|---|
| Export demand, tourism receipts or inward investment rises | Demand right | Appreciation |
| Imports or outward investment rises | Supply right | Depreciation |
| Domestic interest/expected asset return rises relative to abroad | Demand right and/or supply left | Appreciation, if confidence and other returns support inflow |
| Domestic interest return falls | Demand left and/or supply right | Depreciation |
| Domestic inflation rises relative to partners | Export demand/currency demand falls; import demand/currency supply rises | Depreciation |
| Confidence falls or speculators expect a fall | Demand left and/or supply right | Depreciation |
| Central bank sells foreign reserves and buys domestic currency | Demand right | Supports appreciation / resists depreciation |
Most causes are relative. A domestic rate rise has no certain effect if foreign rates rise similarly; higher overseas income may increase demand for domestic exports and appreciate the currency; foreign trade barriers can reduce export demand and depreciate it.
Do not jump from inflation, imports or interest rates straight to the exchange rate. Name who buys or sells which currency and the curve that moves. This objective explains causes, not the later AD/AS consequences.
Trace the rate change through two channels: export/import prices change net exports and AD; imported raw-material and component prices can change production costs and SRAS. Then read equilibrium national income/real output, price level and employment.
| Movement | AD channel | SRAS/cost channel | Likely equilibrium effects |
|---|---|---|---|
| Depreciation | Exports cheaper abroad, imports dearer at home; if net exports rise, AD shifts right | Imported inputs dearer; SRAS may shift left | Output/employment may rise through AD but be limited by costs; price level tends to rise through demand-pull and/or cost-push pressure |
| Appreciation | Exports dearer abroad, imports cheaper at home; if net exports fall, AD shifts left | Imported inputs cheaper; SRAS may shift right | Output/employment may fall through AD, while lower costs offset some loss; price/inflation pressure tends to fall |
Depreciation tends to help exporters using domestic inputs and import-competing firms, but hurts consumers, importers and producers reliant on foreign inputs. Appreciation broadly reverses these groups: consumers and input importers gain purchasing power while exporters face weaker price competitiveness.
Magnitude depends on export/import demand elasticities, spare capacity, import content of production, ability of domestic supply to expand, contracts and time, confidence, foreign-currency debt and the size/persistence of the rate change.
A rate movement is not automatically an AD shift: explain the net-export response. Depreciation can fail to raise output when imports are essential or supply is constrained; appreciation does not guarantee lower unemployment or a better current account.
The objective of current-account stability is an external position that can continue without an abrupt financing or exchange-rate crisis and remains compatible with sustainable output, employment and prices. It does not require the account to equal zero every year.
| Persistent position | Why a government may be concerned |
|---|---|
| Deficit | Repeated borrowing or asset sales may raise foreign debt and debt-service costs, weaken confidence and put downward pressure on the currency; correcting it suddenly can reduce output and employment |
| Surplus | Strong net exports may add to AD and inflation, appreciate the currency, provoke trade tension, or signal weak domestic consumption and investment; reducing it can lower inflationary pressure |
Judge an imbalance by its size and persistence, its cause, how it is financed, debt-service capacity and future export income. A temporary deficit financing productive investment can be more sustainable than one financing repeated consumption; a temporary commodity-led surplus need not justify immediate correction.
A deficit is not automatically bad and a surplus is not automatically good. The policy objective is sustainable stability while balancing growth, employment and inflation—not forced annual equality.
For each policy, write a complete chain: instrument → domestic expenditure or productive competitiveness → demand for imports and/or exports → current-account balance. Then test time, elasticities, side effects and the original cause of the imbalance.
| Policy for a deficit | Main transmission to the current account | Main limits or conflicts |
|---|---|---|
| Contractionary fiscal: higher taxes or lower government spending | Disposable income/AD falls → household and firm spending, including imports, falls → deficit may narrow | Lower output and employment; import response depends on marginal propensity to import; budget measures may have lags |
| Contractionary monetary: higher interest rates or tighter credit | Borrowing and spending fall → import demand falls | Higher rates may appreciate the currency, making exports dearer and imports cheaper; investment, growth and employment may fall |
| Supply-side: education/training, infrastructure, competition, deregulation or investment incentives | Productivity rises and unit costs fall → domestic goods become more competitive → exports rise and import substitution may increase | Usually slow, uncertain and costly; success depends on firms expanding supply and foreign demand |
| Protectionist: tariffs, quotas or other import restrictions; export support | Imports become dearer or restricted and/or exports become more competitive → net exports may rise | Inelastic import demand, higher input/consumer prices, inefficiency, fiscal cost, evasion and retaliation against exports can offset the gain |
To reduce a surplus, reverse the expenditure direction: expansionary fiscal or monetary policy can raise domestic spending and imports. Measures that appreciate the currency can make exports less competitive and imports cheaper. Removing protection or export support may also reduce the surplus, but each choice affects inflation, growth and employment.
Choose by cause and horizon. Demand restraint fits an import-heavy spending boom and can work relatively quickly; supply-side policy better addresses weak productivity but takes time; protection can cut selected imports quickly but risks retaliation. Effectiveness depends on export/import PED and PES, spare capacity, import content, exchange-rate reactions, trading-partner growth and whether policies are combined.
No instrument guarantees correction. A tariff can raise import expenditure when demand is very inelastic, and higher interest rates can reduce imports yet worsen export competitiveness through appreciation. Compare the net effect and macroeconomic trade-offs before concluding.