CAIE IGCSE Economics 5.3. Population Question Bank
Practise using birth rates, death rates, migration and population pyramids to explain growth, ageing and labour-market effects.
- Syllabus
- 2027–2029
- Course
- Economics 0455
Practise using birth rates, death rates, migration and population pyramids to explain growth, ageing and labour-market effects.
Read the source material carefully before answering Question 1.

Source material: Istanbul's geographical advantage
Istanbul is Turkey's largest city by population size. In 2014, its population was approximately 14 times more than it was in 1955. This could be due to increased migration from rural areas to cities and improved healthcare. Istanbul also has the highest output per head of all regions in Turkey.
Good transport links have contributed to Istanbul's economic growth. In addition to good land transport, Istanbul is also home to the 14th largest airport in the world, measured by passenger numbers. From Istanbul, there is access to a market of $24 trillion with 1.5 billion people within a flight time of 4 hours. In addition to affordable international air travel to and from Istanbul, domestic air travel is also very affordable. This is most likely due to economies of scale. There is also a high level of competition in this industry which influences prices and quality of service. The growth in transport industries, along with growth of financial services, has contributed greatly to Istanbul's growth rate as shown in Table 1.1.

Table 1.1 The percentage growth of Istanbul's service sector and the percentage growth of Istanbul's total output 2010-2014
Foreign investment is flowing into Istanbul. Multinational companies (MNCs) are finding Istanbul an attractive city to invest in because of the low cost of living. These MNCs are affecting employment, the level of technology and wages in Istanbul.
However, there is worry that such confidence in the Turkish economy may not last. Many companies have depended on borrowing for expansion. Increased interest rates around the world may make it harder for such companies to continue borrowing and also to attract new customers. If there are greater worries about safety for tourists in Turkey in the future, this may cause fewer people to book flights to Turkey.
Explain two reasons for Istanbul's increased population.
Explain two reasons for Istanbul's increased population.
Logical explanation which might include: People moving from rural areas to the city centre (1) e.g. for higher wages / more employment opportunities / better housing / low cost of living / good transport links (1). Improved healthcare (1) longer life expectancy / lower infant mortality / higher quality of life (1).
4
One mark for each of two reasons identified and one mark for each of two explanations.
Read the source material carefully before answering Question 1.

Source material: some problems affecting the Greek economy
Greece is the country that was worst affected by the European financial crisis that began in 2008. From the start of the crisis, no other European economy had such a large percentage fall in GDP. Greece's GDP fell by 9% in 2011 . One reason for this was a very strong foreign exchange rate.
Since 2014, other European economies have recorded positive economic growth rates. Among the reasons for this were successful supply-side policy measures and an improving global economy. The Greek government introduced market-friendly measures, including privatisation and labour market reforms. These measures brought back some investors and moved the Greek economy closer to a market economic system. However, Greece's output still fell. This may be due to the fact that none of the government policies have managed to change population trends.
The Greek population has been falling since 2010 . Greece has the third most rapidly ageing population in the world, behind Japan and Italy. The economy has not made good use of its older population because a significant percentage of workers retire earlier than the national retirement age of 67. For example, 74% of employees in the public sector retire before 61 years old. In addition, the crisis also led to high levels of emigration.
However, those living on some Greek islands have escaped the effects of the crisis. Income from tourism has continued to flow into the islands. An island called Ikaria has also managed to gain international attention as one of the healthiest places in the world. Approximately 30% of the people who live on this island, live until they are over 90 . Health problems are also much less frequent than those living elsewhere. Overall, however, Greece has managed to improve its Human Development Index (HDI) value as shown in Fig. 1.

Fig. 1 Greece's GDP per head (\$) and HDI value from 2010-2015
Calculate the total number of people over 60 years old in Greece in 2015.
Calculate the total number of people over 60 years old in Greece in 2015.
27%×10.8 million =2.92 million
Analyse how two of Greece's population trends may have affected its economy.
Analyse how two of Greece's population trends may have affected its economy.
Coherent analysis which might include:
The Greek population has been falling ever since 2010 (1) resulting in a smaller labour force (1).
Ageing population (1) increase in dependency ratio (1).
Emigration (1) loss of skilled workers (1).