Explain the relationship between the oil price and the UAE's current account balance.
Coherent analysis which might include:
Expected relationship:
Positive / direct relationship (1) the oil price and the current account balance would be expected to move in the same direction (1).
Supporting Evidence:
As the \% change in the price of oil increases, the \% change in the current account balance increases (1) (and vice versa).
When oil price goes up, the current account balance goes up, e.g. 2016 - 2018, 2020 - 2022 (1)
When oil price goes down, the current account balance goes down, e.g. 2019 - 2020 (1).
When the \% change in the price of oil is highest, the \% change in the current account balance is also the highest e.g. 2021 (1).
When the \% change in the price of oil is lowest, the \% change in the current account is also the lowest e.g. 2020 (1)
Analysis:
Higher oil prices increase export revenue as demand for oil is inelastic (1) increases inflows into current account (1).
Exception:
There is no exception evident in the figure (1)
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Responses do not have to be in the format suggested but they should address the expected / normal relationship, offer supporting evidence of that, and analyse the overall data.