IB ESS SL 8.1 Human Populations Question Bank
Practise IB ESS SL 8.1 by calculating population change, interpreting demographic structures and evaluating direct and indirect population policies.
- Syllabus
- First assessment 2026
- Course
- ESS SL
- Level
- SL
Practise IB ESS SL 8.1 by calculating population change, interpreting demographic structures and evaluating direct and indirect population policies.

Figure Crude birth rate, crude death rate, total population (1960-2024) and predicted total population (2025-2100) for South Korea
| Year | Crude birth rate |
|---|---|
| 1980 | |
| 2024 |
Using Figure, state the crude birth rate (CBR) of South Korea in 1980 and 2024.
Year
Crude Birth Rate
1980
22.5-23
2024
5
Using Figure, calculate the natural increase rate (NIR) in 1980.
(23-7.5/10 =) 1.55 Accept 1.5-1.6
Note to examiners: Allow 15-16 per thousand (Do not credit just 15-16)
Explain which stage of the demographic transition model South Korea was in during 1980.
Stage three (Late expanding);
Birth rates are falling (rapidly) and the death rates are falling/start stabilizing / CBR is still higher than CDR / NIR is relatively high, but decreasing;
Note to examiners: If stage is vague (3/4), unnamed or just wrong, there is no credit available for explanation (it is not clear what is being explained).
Outline two national development policies that might have contributed to the changes in the crude birth rates in South Korea between 1960 and 2024.
Decreasing birth rates due to:
a. Educating women for greater economic and reproductive independence;
b. Providing sex education so people understand how to control how many children to have / improved access to contraception;
c. Direct policies such as governing the number of children women can have;
d. Improved access to healthcare to reduce infant/child mortality rates;
e. public confidence that children will survive into adulthood, reducing the need for multiple children;
f. Investment in social security/pensions so people don't have to depend on children to care for them in later years;
g. Investment in agricultural technology so not as many children are needed to work;
h. Urbanization increasing the cost of raising children;
i. Rapid economic development/industrialization shifting priorities of adults to career;
j. Pro-small family campaigns in media/street posters;
k. Increased legal age of marriage, which increased age of first childbearing;

Sketch the shape of the age-gender pyramid for 2024 that would lead to the predicted total population changes from 2024 to 2100, as shown in Figure.
A population pyramid is shown in the rough shape of a stage 4/5 pyramid, the base and apex must be smaller than the middle (showing a clear decrease in lower and older age classes).
Award 1 mark if base narrows, and 1 mark if apex narrows
Axes do not need labelling for credit

| Population | 5157100 |
|---|---|
| Live births | 58887 |
| Deaths | 38574 |
| Total fertility rate | 1.66 children per woman |
Table:Population statistics for New Zealand, 2022
With reference to Table: Population statistics for New Zealand, 2022, calculate the crude death rate (CDR) per 1000 people for the year 2022.
Note to examiners: Do not accept improper rounding/no rounding.
(b) Outline how the total fertility rate of New Zealand shown in Table: Population statistics for New Zealand, 2022 will influence its future population.
Outline how the total fertility rate of New Zealand shown in Table: Population statistics for New Zealand, 2022 will influence its future population.
a. Value/TFR (1.66) is below population replacement levels/needed to sustain population levels;
b. Will lead to long-term population decline;
c. Will lead to less working population to support elderly population/a smaller working population will be supporting a higher non-working/retired population;
d. This will require immigration of workforce/younger working-age people;
| Population | 5.11 million |
|---|---|
| Total fertility rate | 1.86 children per woman |
| Population growth rate | 1.06% |
| Life expectancy | 82.74 years |
Table:Population statistics for New Zealand, 2023
With reference to Table: Population statistics for New Zealand, 2023, calculate the doubling time (DT) of the population of New Zealand.
(70/growth rate =70 / 1.06= ) 66.038 (years) / 66.04 (years) / 66 (years)
Note to examiners: Units are not required
Outline two factors which could change the expected doubling time (DT).
a. Increase in doubling time due to migration out of the country / decrease in doubling time due to immigration/in-migration;
b. Increase in doubling time due to increase in death rate due to disease e.g. pandemic/increased cost of health care / decrease in doubling time due to decrease in death rate due to advances in health care;
c. Increase in doubling time due to reduction in birth/fertility rates due to cost of raising children / decrease in doubling time due to increase in births/fertility rates as a result of government financial incentives;
d. Increase in doubling time due to reduction in birth/fertility rates due to anti
natalist policies / decrease in doubling time due to increase in births/fertility rates as a result of pro-natalist policies;
e. Increase in doubling time due to economic recession, delaying births / decrease in doubling time due to economic boom;
f. Increase in doubling time due to emancipation of women (e.g. access to family planning, contraception, higher education, employment), reducing fertility rates/delaying onset of child-bearing/delayed marriage;
Note to examiners: Responses must connect the answer to increasing/decreasing the doubling time. Do not accept catastrophic event/natural disaster as these are short-term events that are unlikely to have an appreciable effect on the doubling time.