S3.2 - Sampling

Syllabus
2019
Topic
S3.2
Level
A2

Take a simple random sample with random numbers

In a simple random sample of size n, every possible set of n distinct population units has the same chance of selection. A complete sampling frame is therefore needed so that every unit can be identified before random selection.

Number the N units consistently, for example 00–69 for 70 students. Read random digits in groups with enough places to represent the largest label. Accept a number only when it is in range and has not already been selected; ignore out-of-range values and repeats until n distinct units have been obtained.

For 70 students labelled 00–69, two-digit random numbers are required. If the stream begins 47, 83, 05, 47, 62, then select 47, ignore 83 because it is outside 00–69, select 05, ignore the repeated 47, and select 62.

The labels identify units but must not influence selection; the random-number source supplies the chance mechanism. Rejecting invalid and repeated labels preserves a sample without replacement while treating eligible labels symmetrically.

A table of individually random digits is not automatically suitable if its displayed structure does not generate the required multi-digit numbers randomly. Do not choose convenient replacements for rejected values, and do not confuse random selection with a haphazard sample.

Choose stratified, systematic or quota sampling

Choose a sampling method from the available frame, the population structure and the practical constraints. Stratified, systematic and quota sampling can all spread a sample across a population, but only the first two use a specified probability-based selection rule when carried out correctly.

Method How it is taken Useful when Main advantage Main limitation
stratified split into non-overlapping strata; allocate proportionally; randomly sample within each known subgroups should be represented reflects population structure and supports subgroup summaries needs stratum information and a frame; more organization
systematic order and number the frame; choose a random start; then take every kkth unit a complete ordered frame is available and an evenly spread sample is convenient quick and simple after the start periodicity or ordering can bias the result
quota set target numbers for categories; interviewers select available units until each quota is full no complete frame is available and speed/cost dominate quick, inexpensive and enforces category totals non-random within quotas, so interviewer or availability bias remains

For population size NN and stratum size NhN_h, allocatenhnNhN,n_h\approx n\frac{N_h}{N},then adjust rounding so all allocations total nn. With 800 employees split 430, 250 and 120 across three cities and sample size 100, proportional allocations are approximately 54, 31 and 15.

For an ordered list of N=280N=280 students and sample size n=40n=40, the interval is k=N/n=7k=N/n=7. Choose a random start from 1 to 7, then select that unit and every seventh unit afterwards until 40 are chosen.

Stratification does not remove bias if selection inside a stratum is not random. A systematic sample needs a random start and can fail when the list has a pattern related to the variable. Quota sampling matches selected category counts but is not the same as stratified random sampling.