Knowledge 2, Application 2, Analysis 2, Evaluation 2
QS2: Calculate, use and understand percentages, percentage changes and percentage point changes
QS9: Interpret, apply and analyse information in written, graphical, tabular and numerical forms
Knowledge and Analysis
Up to 2 marks for identification of 2 impacts and 1 mark for each expansion point, up to maximum of 4 marks (2+2):
- Rapid growth means that living standards likely to rise faster than other areas of Africa (1) improving relative incomes/standards of living (1)
- Rapid growth means that unemployment is likely to fall/employment is likely to rise (1) leading to higher real incomes/helping to improve living standards (1)
- Growth in agriculture and mining may lead to more environmental damage (1) reducing the quality of life due to health problems (1)
- Improving relative incomes may enable consumers to import better quality goods (1) improving their quality of life (1)
- High levels of AD may generate inflation (1) which will lead to higher costs of living/have negative impact on those on fixed incomes/generate shoe leather and menu costs (1)
- Rapid growth may mean that some economic agents e.g. business owners may benefit more than others e.g. workers (1) resulting in an increase in inequality (1)
Application
1 mark for reference to Extract A:
- Fastest growing region of Africa in 2018/
- Most of the growth contributed by agriculture and mining/
- FDI contributed to growth/
- Inflation rate was 13.1\% in 2016/14.4\% in 2017
- Better roads and airports (1)
1 mark for reference to Figure 1
- Real GDP grew at least 5% each year/
- Highest growth 6.5% in 2015 (1)
(8)
Evaluation
Up to 2 marks for evaluative comments, (1+1, 2+0) e.g.:
- Impact on un/employment will depend on whether growth is on labour intensive or capital-intensive industries (1)
- Whilst there are high rates of inflation these are real growth figures (1) showing people's average incomes should be growing more rapidly (1)
- Impact on inequality depends on government policy with regard to taxation and welfare benefits (1)
- Growth is based on increasing commodity prices (1) which are volatile/fluctuate/may reduce in the future (1)
- The growth rate has slowed from 6.5% in 2015 to 5.7% in 2018 (1) suggesting the impacts will be reducing in significance (1)
- Population might be growing at a faster rate than GDP (1) so GDP per capita is falling and people are worse off (1)
- Consumers importing more may create a trade deficit (1) reducing the level of AD/creating a withdrawal from the economy (1)
Question
Number
With reference to Figure 2, analyse one macroeconomic effect of the
change in the current account balance as a percentage of GDP on East
African economies.
Answer
Mark