State briefly the circumstances under which a non-parametric test of significance should be used rather than a parametric test.
The level of pollution in a river was measured at 12 randomly chosen locations. The results, in suitable units, are shown below, where higher values represent greater pollution.
[ 1 ]
When the population cannot be assumed to be normally distributed
1
Question (b)
(b)
Use a Wilcoxon signed-rank test to test whether the average pollution level in the river is more than 6.00. Use a 5% significance level.
[ 6 ]
H0: population median is 6.00,H1: population median is greater than 6.00
1 Conclusion: accept H0; insufficient evidence that the median is greater than 6.00
1
A1FT
Conclusion to be stated in context, not just 'not significant'; follow through their value of T
6
Question 2
[Maximum number: 8]
A large number of students took two test papers in mathematics. The teacher believes that the marks obtained in Paper 1 will be higher than the marks obtained in Paper 2. She chooses a random sample of 9 students and compares their marks. The marks are shown in the table.
Question (a)
(a)
Carry out a Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank test, at the 5% significance level, to test whether the data supports the teacher's belief.
H0: population medians equal or m1=m2H1: population median X> population median Y or m1>m2 'Population' required. Accept use of m, not μ.
Do not accept 'difference between population medians >0 ' without X, Y OE specified.
Critical value =8 16>8 and accept Ho / not significant Compare their ' 16 ' with their ' 8 ' and conclusion. Their '16' must be less than 23. Ignore their hypotheses. Condone 'reject H1 '.
Insufficient evidence to support teacher's belief or insufficient evidence that the marks/median in Paper 1 are/is higher than the marks/median in Paper 2 Correct conclusion in context, following correct work, level of uncertainty in language (not 'prove', not 'there is no evidence'), no contradictions. e.g. Proves that the teacher is incorrect scores A0. A0 if hypotheses wrong way round.
7
Question (b)
(b)
State an assumption that you have made in carrying out the test in part (a).
[ 1 ]
The population differences are symmetrical (about the median difference) Words in bold, or their equivalent, are required.
1
Question 3
[Maximum number: 10]
A school is conducting an experiment to see whether the distance that children can throw a ball increases in hot weather. On a cold day, all the children at the school were asked to throw a ball as far as possible. The distances thrown were measured and recorded. The median distance thrown by a random sample of 25 of the children was 22.0 m . The children were asked to throw the ball again on a hot day. The distances thrown by the same 25 children were measured and recorded and these distances, in m , are shown below.
The teacher claims that on average the distances thrown will be further when it is hot. Carry out a Wilcoxon signed-rank test, at the 5% significance level, to test whether the data supports the teacher's claim. [10]
H0: population medians are equal
H1: population median after > population median before Do not accept 'differences between population medians < 0 ' unless difference defined.
-2.2 & -16 & 0.7 & 6 & 1.3 & 10 & -0.5 & -4 & 2.3 & 17 Signed differences, allow at most 4 errors Attempt at ranks (ignore signs).
( W+=214 ) W−=111 Cao identified, or used, as test statistic.
Normal: mean =41n(n+1)=41×25×26[=162.5] Variance =241n(n+1)(2n+1)=241×25×26×51[=1381.25] z - value: 1381.25111.5−162.5 Allow missing or incorrect continuity correction. Their 111 must come from ranks.
-1.37 CAO
Tabular value is -1.645: ' -1.37 ' >-1.645, or 0.915<0.95 oe, accept H0, Consistent signs. Allow 'not significant'.
Insufficient evidence to support the teacher's claim
Insufficient evidence to suggest that the distances thrown are further when it is hot All correct. Correct conclusion in context, following correct work, level of uncertainty in language.