11.5 Relationship between countries at different levels of development

Syllabus
9708–2026–2027
Topic
11.5
Level
A2

Learning objectives

Aid outcomes depend on its purpose, route, finance and conditions

International aid is assistance transferred on non-commercial or concessional terms to relieve humanitarian need or support development. Official aid comes from governments/public agencies; private NGO relief is assistance but not official foreign aid.

Dimension Forms and exam distinction
Purpose Humanitarian/emergency relief versus long-run development aid
Route Bilateral: donor government to recipient; multilateral: through an international organisation
Finance Grant: no repayment; concessional loan: repayment on softer-than-market terms; debt relief
Resource Money, food/equipment in kind, technical assistance/training
Conditions Tied aid requires specified donor goods/services; untied aid leaves procurement choice
Possible benefit Limitation/condition
Infrastructure, health, education and technology raise productivity/capacity Poor project choice, corruption or weak maintenance can waste resources
Foreign exchange and capital relax savings/import constraints Loans add debt service; tied purchases may be expensive
Emergency relief protects lives and productive assets Repeated dependence can weaken local initiative or production
Training and public services improve human development Benefits may reach narrow groups or follow donor political priorities

Evaluate importance against the recipient's binding constraint and the counterfactual: grants for productive, locally owned projects with maintenance and accountable delivery are more likely to raise long-run living standards than debt-financed consumption or donor-led projects with weak local capacity.

Aid is not automatically a grant, bilateral, untied or development-enhancing. Classify each dimension separately before judging short-run relief, long-run capacity and repayment/dependency effects.

Trade opens markets; investment creates productive assets

Channel Development mechanism Main condition/risk
Trade access Larger export markets, specialisation, foreign exchange, imported capital/technology and competition Commodity volatility, trade barriers, weak terms of trade, import displacement
Cross-border investment Adds capital, infrastructure, management, technology and productive capacity Profit/interest outflows, imported inputs/labour, debt, enclave activity and external costs
Labour/remittances Wages sent home raise secondary income, household spending/saving and foreign exchange Brain drain, dependency and unequal access

‘Trade not aid’ argues for durable earning capacity through greater access to high-income markets, not autarky, import substitution or using aid to subsidise exports. Removing rich-country agricultural subsidies can improve developing-country producers' competitive access.

Both partners can gain when exchange uses comparative advantage and contracts are fulfilled: for example, seasonal workers fill a labour shortage while remitted wages benefit home households. Infrastructure investment can raise both countries' trade capacity, but imported construction inputs, tied loans and repayment can shift gains.

For any case, trace (1) immediate AD and foreign-exchange flows, (2) productive-capacity and skill effects, (3) domestic supplier/job/tax linkages, and (4) later import, profit, interest and wage outflows.

More trade or investment is not automatically development. Low investment is often associated with low income, but direction of causation and distribution of gains must be evaluated.

An MNC coordinates production or ownership across countries

A multinational company (MNC) owns or controls productive operations in more than one country. Exporting or trading internationally alone is insufficient: the firm must conduct production/business operations across countries.

MNCs may build or acquire factories, extract resources, organise global supply chains, contract local suppliers, transfer technology/management, train workers, sell locally and export. These activities usually involve FDI, but MNC describes the firm while FDI describes the investment flow/asset.

Potential host gain Potential host cost or leakage
Jobs, training, productivity and technology transfer Imported skilled labour/inputs or only low-paid local jobs
Higher AD, GDP/GNI, exports and infrastructure Repatriated profit, imported inputs and exchange-rate/resource effects
Tax revenue and supplier/market access Tax concessions/avoidance and strong bargaining power
Diversification and competition Domestic-firm displacement, structural unemployment and monopoly power
Resource development Pollution, depletion, cultural/non-material costs and corruption

Judge net contribution by local value added, worker/supplier linkages, technology retained, taxes collected, reinvestment, competition and external costs—not by gross MNC sales. Host tax, labour, environmental and local-content rules alter each channel.

MNC presence does not always promote growth or living standards. It can raise actual/potential output while worsening distribution, non-material welfare or the current account through imports and profit outflows.

FDI creates lasting control, capacity and later cross-border flows

Foreign direct investment (FDI) is cross-border investment giving a lasting interest and significant influence/control in an enterprise, commonly by building fixed capital (greenfield investment) or acquiring an existing firm. Short-term purchases without control are portfolio investment.

Route Likely effect Condition
Initial capital/factory spending Financial-account inflow and higher AD; multiplier if spare capacity More domestic inputs/labour increase local multiplier
Capital, training and technology Higher productivity, LRAS/potential growth, wages and consumption Spillovers require local skills/suppliers
Export production/import substitution Current account may improve Stronger when local inputs are high and foreign demand is income-elastic
Imported machinery/materials Current-account debit during setup/production Domestic sourcing reduces leakage
Profit repatriation Primary-income outflow and GNI below corresponding GDP contribution Reinvestment/tax collection retain more gains
Competition/resource use Lower prices/efficiency or displaced firms; possible depletion/pollution Regulation and market structure matter

Investors consider market size, infrastructure, skills/productivity, political/currency stability, costs, tax/rules and ability to repatriate profit. Low wages and cheap land may not compensate for unreliable transport, power or institutions.

Assess standard-of-living effects through employment/income, public revenue and services, consumer choice, distribution and environmental/non-material costs. An observed FDI-growth correlation alone does not establish causation.

An FDI inflow can improve the financial account while imported inputs or later profits worsen current-account components. Do not infer the whole balance of payments, trade balance or welfare effect from one flow.

External debt helps only when returns and foreign exchange cover its service

External debt is the stock of public or private liabilities owed to non-residents. It may be short/long term and domestic/foreign-currency denominated; debt service is the interest plus principal repayments due over a period.

Cause Why foreign borrowing rises
Savings/investment gap Low income and saving cannot finance infrastructure, capital and technology
Foreign-exchange gap Export receipts/reserves cannot fund essential imports or current-account deficits
Fiscal deficit/shock Disaster, conflict, recession, commodity-price fall or pandemic raises spending/reduces revenue
Cheap global credit Low foreign interest rates encourage projects and refinancing, sometimes beyond productive use
Exchange/interest movement Depreciation or variable-rate rises inflate the burden and may trigger more borrowing/rollover
If well used and manageable If returns/terms are weak
Infrastructure/capital raise AD, LRAS, productivity, exports and tax revenue Interest/principal outflows worsen primary income and use foreign exchange
Growth can exceed borrowing cost and lower debt relative to GNI Fiscal austerity/crowding out reduces health, education or investment
Longer maturities/concessional rates create adjustment time Rollover/default risk, lower creditworthiness and policy dependence rise
Export-generating projects supply repayment currency Depreciation makes foreign-currency debt costlier in domestic terms

Judge sustainability using debt and debt service relative to GNI/government revenue/export earnings, real growth versus effective interest cost, maturity/rollover profile, currency denomination, reserve access and project returns. A smaller debt-to-GNI ratio can occur even when nominal debt rises if GNI grows faster.

External debt is not the annual current-account deficit or total national/public debt. A large stock is not automatically unsustainable, and low initial interest rates do not remove exchange-rate, refinancing or project-quality risk.

The IMF supplies temporary external finance while economies adjust

IMF role Economic purpose
Surveillance and policy advice Identify macro, financial, exchange-rate and external risks
Temporary lending to members with balance-of-payments/foreign-exchange problems Finance essential imports and avoid disorderly default while adjustment occurs
Promote international monetary cooperation and exchange stability Reduce destabilising policies and payment-system disruption
Technical assistance/capacity development Improve monetary, fiscal, statistical and financial institutions

A programme provides foreign exchange and credibility subject to agreed policy conditions and repayment. Fiscal, monetary, exchange-rate or structural measures aim to reduce the financing gap and restore sustainability rather than finance a permanent deficit.

Potential benefit Potential cost/condition
Prevents abrupt import compression/default and buys adjustment time Conditional austerity or tight policy can reduce output, jobs and public services short term
Restores confidence/reserves and may unlock other finance Forecast/design errors, weak ownership or poor implementation can fail
Corrects unsustainable external/fiscal policies Distributional burdens and political resistance may be severe

The IMF is not primarily a development-project bank: a water-treatment plant or long-run infrastructure project is normally a World Bank-type role. IMF support is not free aid and may also follow disasters only where an external financing need exists.

The World Bank finances long-run development capacity and projects

The World Bank Group provides long-term development finance, grants/concessional support for eligible countries, policy advice, research and technical knowledge. Typical areas include infrastructure, health, education, social protection, institutions and private-sector development.

Project chain Success condition
Identify a development constraint Evidence supports the priority and opportunity cost
Finance infrastructure/services/institutions Loan/grant terms and debt burden are suitable
Procure and implement Governance, local capability and environmental/social safeguards work
Operate and maintain Recurrent finance, skills and community access exist
Convert outputs to outcomes Benefits reach intended groups and raise productivity/welfare

A well-selected water, transport, health or education project can improve human capital, productivity, market access and potential growth. Weak selection, corruption, tied/import-intensive construction, displacement, environmental harm or missing maintenance can leave debt without durable benefits.

IMF World Bank
Shorter-term balance-of-payments and macro-financial stabilisation Longer-term development projects, capacity and structural constraints
Foreign-exchange support linked to macro adjustment Project/programme finance and development knowledge

World Bank financing does not prove development occurred: evaluate implementation, access, maintenance, distribution and debt terms. Short-term bailout packages for an external-account crisis are principally the IMF role.