1.3.2 - Consumer behaviour and demand

Syllabus
2018
Topic
1.3.2
Level
AS

Learning objectives

1.3.21a - assumption of rationality in decision making: consumers aim decision making to maximiseThe assumption of rationality in decision making: consumers aim decision making to maximise utility by making rational choices; firms aim to maximise profits.1.3.21b - Reasons why consumers may not aim to maximise utility: • the influence of otherReasons why consumers may not aim to maximise utility:; the influence of other people's behaviour (herding); habitual behaviour; inertia; poor computational skills; the need to feel valued; framing and bias.1.3.22a - concept of 'demand'The concept of 'demand'.1.3.22b - distinction between movements along a demand curve and shifts of a demand curveThe distinction between movements along a demand curve and shifts of a demand curve.1.3.22c - concept of diminishing marginal utility and its significance for the shape of theThe concept of diminishing marginal utility and its significance for the shape of the individual demand curve.1.3.22d - Factors that may cause a shift in the demand curve: • changes in the price ofFactors that may cause a shift in the demand curve:; changes in the price of substitutes or complementary goods; changes in real income; changes in tastes; changes in size and age distribution of the population; advertising.1.3.23a - concepts of 'price', 'income' and 'cross-elasticities of cross-elasticities demand'. ofThe concepts of 'price', 'income' and 'cross-elasticities of cross-elasticities demand'. of demand1.3.23b - use formulae to calculate price, income and cross-elasticities of demandHow to use formulae to calculate price, income and cross-elasticities of demand.1.3.23c - Interpretation of numerical values of price elasticity of demand: • perfectly priceInterpretation of numerical values of price elasticity of demand:; perfectly price elastic demand; price elastic demand; unitary price elastic demand; price inelastic demand; perfectly price inelastic demand.1.3.23d - factors influencing price elasticity of demand: • availability of substitutes •The factors influencing price elasticity of demand:; availability of substitutes; branding; percentage of total expenditure; addictiveness of product; durability of product.1.3.23e - calculate total revenueHow to calculate total revenue.1.3.23f - price elasticity of demand varies along a straight line demand curveHow price elasticity of demand varies along a straight line demand curve.1.3.23g - relationship between price elasticity of demand and total cross-elasticities revenue.The relationship between price elasticity of demand and total cross-elasticities revenue. of demand1.3.23h - Interpretation of numerical values of income elasticity of (continued) demand: •Interpretation of numerical values of income elasticity of (continued) demand:; perfectly income elastic demand; income elastic demand; income inelastic demand; perfectly income inelastic demand; the distinction between normal goods and inferior goods.1.3.23i - Interpretation of numerical values of cross elasticity of demand. Significance for theInterpretation of numerical values of cross elasticity of demand. Significance for the degree to which goods are:; substitutes; complements; unrelated.1.3.23j - significance of price, income and cross-elasticities of demand for firms, consumers andThe significance of price, income and cross-elasticities of demand for firms, consumers and the government.

Rational economic decisions

The rationality assumption treats decision makers as comparing relevant benefits and costs and choosing the available option that best meets their objective. Consumers are assumed to maximise utility—the satisfaction gained from consumption—while firms are assumed to maximise profit.

Decision maker Objective in the model Rational comparison
consumer maximise utility within income and other constraints expected satisfaction and all relevant costs of feasible choices
firm maximise profit expected revenue and economic costs of feasible actions

A consumer who switches to an equally suitable, lower-priced energy tariff may gain more utility from the income saved. A firm accepts an extra order only if the expected addition to revenue exceeds the relevant addition to cost.

Rationality is a modelling assumption, not a claim that people possess perfect information, calculate without cost, or care only about money. A choice that looks costly may still be rational if it provides quality, convenience or another valued benefit.

Why consumers may not maximise utility

Influence How it can change a choice
herding following other people's choices instead of independently comparing options
habitual behaviour repeating a familiar purchase or remaining loyal without reconsidering it
inertia avoiding the time or effort needed to change an existing choice
poor computational skills miscalculating prices, probabilities, savings or complex tariffs
need to feel valued preferring recognition, loyalty treatment or service relationships
framing and bias responding differently because equivalent information is presented or mentally weighted differently

A household may keep an expensive broadband contract through habit or inertia; follow the provider used by friends through herding; misunderstand a tariff through poor computation; or prefer familiar service because it feels valued. A comparison site's framing can also direct attention to a headline discount while obscuring later charges.

Observed non-switching does not prove irrationality. Search time, contract penalties, reliability and service quality can make staying the utility-maximising choice. Diagnose the mechanism and compare all relevant benefits and costs before judging.

The six reasons are distinct but can interact. Habit is repeated behaviour; inertia concerns the effort of changing; herding follows others. None automatically proves that utility was not maximised.

What demand means

Demand is the quantity of a good or service that consumers are willing and able to buy at each possible price during a stated period, ceteris paribus.

A demand schedule records price–quantity pairs; a demand curve plots those pairs with price on the vertical axis and quantity demanded on the horizontal axis. Market demand is found by adding the quantities demanded by all consumers at each price.

Both willingness and ability matter. Wanting a product without the purchasing power to buy it is not effective demand. Always attach demand to a period, because a quantity per week is not the same as a quantity per year.

Demand is the entire relationship between price and quantity demanded. A single quantity demanded is one amount at one price; it is not the whole demand curve.

Movement along or shift of demand

Event Diagram change Language
the good's own price changes, other demand conditions fixed move to another point on the same demand curve extension when price falls; contraction when price rises
a non-price determinant changes the whole curve shifts right or left increase or decrease in demand at every given price

A fall in the price of rice causes an extension in quantity demanded along the rice demand curve. A rise in population can shift rice demand right because more may be demanded at every price.

Ask first: did the good's own price change? If yes, show a movement along the existing curve. If another determinant changed, hold own price constant and show a shift.

Do not call a price-driven movement an increase or decrease in demand. It is an increase or decrease in quantity demanded; demand itself shifts only when a non-price determinant changes.

Diminishing marginal utility and demand

Total utility is the satisfaction from all units consumed. Marginal utility is the additional utility from one more unit. Diminishing marginal utility means that, after some point, each successive unit adds less utility than the previous unit, ceteris paribus.

MU_n=TU_n-TU_{n-1}

If each extra unit gives less additional satisfaction, a consumer will normally buy further units only at a lower price. This helps explain why an individual's demand curve slopes downward: lower prices make units with lower marginal utility worth purchasing.

If total utility from one, two and three portions is 10, 18 and 23, marginal utility is 10, 8 and 5. Total utility still rises, but at a decreasing rate.

Diminishing marginal utility does not mean total utility must immediately fall. Total utility rises while marginal utility is positive, is maximised when the next unit adds zero, and falls only if marginal utility becomes negative.

What shifts a demand curve

Determinant changes Likely demand effect, other things equal
price of a substitute rises demand for this good shifts right
price of a complement rises demand for this good shifts left
real income rises right for a normal good; left for an inferior good
tastes become more favourable right
relevant population grows right
age distribution changes direction depends on which age group demands the good
effective advertising right if it increases awareness or preference

Name the determinant, explain how it changes willingness or ability to buy, then state the direction of the shift. For example, a petrol-price rise can increase demand for electric vehicles if the two are substitutes.

Direction depends on the relationship and context. Higher income need not raise demand for an inferior good; advertising may fail; and population ageing can raise demand for one product while reducing another.

A shift means quantity demanded changes at every given own price. A change in the good's own price remains a movement along the curve, not a shift.

Three elasticities of demand

Measure Responsiveness measured Numerator / denominator
price elasticity of demand (PED) quantity demanded to the good's own price % change in quantity demanded / % change in own price
income elasticity of demand (YED) quantity demanded to consumer real income % change in quantity demanded / % change in real income
cross elasticity of demand (XED) demand for good X to the price of good Y % change in quantity demanded of X / % change in price of Y

Elasticity is a ratio, so it has no unit. Its magnitude shows responsiveness; its sign can reveal direction and, for YED and XED, the relationship between goods or between income and demand.

Do not swap the numerator and denominator, and do not use XED for a good's response to its own price. State which good is X and which is Y before interpreting cross elasticity.

Calculate PED, YED and XED

%\Delta Z=\frac{Z_{new}-Z_{original}}{Z_{original}}\times100

PED=\frac{%\Delta Q_d}{%\Delta P},\qquad YED=\frac{%\Delta Q_d}{%\Delta Y},\qquad XED_{X,Y}=\frac{%\Delta Q_{d,X}}{%\Delta P_Y}

  1. Identify the correct original values. 2. Calculate each percentage change using its own original value. 3. Divide the percentage change in quantity demanded by the relevant price or income percentage change. 4. Keep the sign, round only at the end, and interpret the result.

If price rises from 20to20 to22 and quantity demanded falls from 500 to 450, price changes by +10% and quantity demanded by −10%. PED = −10% ÷ 10% = −1.

If an elasticity and the causal percentage change are known, rearrange: percentage change in quantity demanded = elasticity × percentage change in price or income.

An elasticity is not a percentage. PED = −0.5 does not mean demand falls by 0.5% for every price change; a 1% price rise predicts a 0.5% quantity fall, ceteris paribus.

Interpret price elasticity of demand

PED value Interpretation Curve benchmark
-\infty perfectly price elastic: any price rise reduces quantity demanded to zero horizontal
less than 1-1 price elastic: quantity responds more than proportionately relatively responsive
1-1 unitary price elastic: equal proportionate response unit elasticity
between 1-1 and 00 price inelastic: quantity responds less than proportionately relatively unresponsive
00 perfectly price inelastic: quantity does not respond to price vertical

PED is usually negative because price and quantity demanded move in opposite directions. Compare absolute values when ranking responsiveness: PED −2 is more elastic than PED −0.4.

A steeper-looking curve is not always less elastic because axis scales and the point on the curve matter. Interpret the numerical elasticity, not visual slope alone.

What influences PED

Factor Tends to make demand more price elastic when...
substitutes close alternatives are numerous and easy to switch to
branding brand loyalty is weak; strong loyalty tends to reduce responsiveness
share of expenditure the purchase takes a large share of the consumer's budget
addictiveness dependence is weak; strong addiction tends to reduce responsiveness
durability purchase can be postponed or an existing durable can keep being used

Each factor changes the consumer's ability or willingness to adjust quantity after a price change. Natural gas may be price inelastic where it is necessary and alternatives are scarce; a specific cinema time may be more elastic when another showing is an easy substitute.

PED can differ across consumers, price ranges and time. More substitutes may emerge and consumers can adjust habits in the longer run, often making demand more elastic.

Do not infer PED from whether a product is expensive in absolute terms. The relevant ideas are substitution, budget share and adjustment possibilities, not the price label alone.

Calculate total revenue

TR=P\times Q

Total revenue is the money a firm receives from sales over a stated period. Multiply the selling price per unit by the number of units sold in the same period and currency.

At 3perunitand45,000units,totalrevenueis3 per unit and 45,000 units, total revenue is135,000. At 4and45,000units,itis4 and 45,000 units, it is180,000, so revenue rises by $45,000.

When price changes, calculate revenue before and after using the corresponding quantity at each price. Comparing prices alone cannot reveal the revenue change.

Total revenue is not profit. Profit subtracts costs from revenue, so a revenue increase can coexist with lower profit if costs rise by more.

PED along a straight-line demand curve

Position on a straight-line demand curve PED magnitude
upper section: high price, low quantity elastic, PED>1|PED|>1
midpoint unitary, PED=1|PED|=1
lower section: low price, high quantity inelastic, PED<1|PED|<1
price-axis intercept / quantity-axis intercept approaches infinity / approaches zero

The straight line has a constant slope, but elasticity is a percentage concept. Moving down the curve changes the price-to-quantity ratio: the same absolute movement is a larger percentage of a small starting quantity near the top and a smaller percentage near the bottom.

The midpoint also separates the revenue effects: above it, a price fall raises total revenue; below it, a price fall reduces total revenue.

Constant slope does not mean constant elasticity. Do not identify the regions from unseen lettered points; locate them relative to the midpoint and intercepts.

PED and total revenue

Demand at the current point Price rises Price falls
elastic, PED>1|PED|>1 TR falls TR rises
unitary, PED=1|PED|=1 TR unchanged TR unchanged
inelastic, PED<1|PED|<1 TR rises TR falls

Total revenue is price × quantity. With elastic demand, quantity changes by a larger percentage than price, so the quantity effect dominates. With inelastic demand, the price percentage change is larger, so the price effect dominates.

A firm considering a price change can use PED to predict the direction of revenue change, provided the estimate is relevant to the price range, consumers and time period.

The rule predicts total revenue, not profit, and it is ceteris paribus. Costs, competitor responses, quality changes or a demand shift can change the business outcome.

Interpret income elasticity of demand

YED value Interpretation
positive normal good: demand moves in the same direction as income
greater than +1+1 income elastic normal good
between 00 and +1+1 income inelastic normal good
negative inferior good: demand falls as income rises
00 perfectly income inelastic: demand does not respond to income
magnitude tending to infinity perfectly income elastic benchmark

YED +2.0 predicts that a 3% income rise raises quantity demanded by 6%; YED −0.2 predicts that a 10% income rise reduces quantity demanded by 2%, ceteris paribus.

The sign distinguishes normal from inferior goods; the absolute magnitude distinguishes a more-than-proportionate from less-than-proportionate response. Classification can change across income ranges and consumers.

Income inelastic does not mean inferior. A good with YED +0.4 is normal but income inelastic; inferiority requires a negative sign.

Interpret cross elasticity of demand

XED value Relationship
positive substitutes: a rise in the price of Y raises demand for X
negative complements: a rise in the price of Y lowers demand for X
zero or very close to zero unrelated or only a very weak relationship
larger absolute value stronger responsiveness and generally a closer relationship

If XED for Pepsi with respect to the price of Coca-Cola is +1.24, a 10% rise in Coca-Cola's price predicts a 12.4% rise in demand for Pepsi. If coffee's XED with respect to milk is −0.04, the negative sign indicates complementarity but the response is weak.

Name both goods and the direction: XEDX,YXED_{X,Y} measures demand for X after Y's price changes. Reversing the goods describes a different estimate.

A positive XED does not show that either good is normal; that requires YED. A small non-zero estimate may reflect a weak link and measurement uncertainty, so avoid claiming a strong relationship.

Why demand elasticities matter

User PED YED XED
firms anticipate sales/revenue response to price changes forecast demand as incomes grow or contract identify competitive and complementary products
consumers anticipate how price changes and alternatives affect spending choices plan changing expenditure as income changes compare switching possibilities between related goods
government forecast effects of taxes, subsidies and price policies on quantity and revenue anticipate cyclical demand and service needs assess product relationships when designing policy or competition decisions

Choose the elasticity that matches the causal question, use an estimate for the relevant market and time, calculate the predicted quantity response, then consider costs, distribution and uncertainty before deciding.

Elasticity estimates are not fixed laws. They can change with consumer groups, time, available substitutes, income range, branding and the size of the change. A forecast is conditional on other demand determinants remaining unchanged.

Elasticity alone does not determine a firm's profit, a consumer's welfare or whether a government policy is desirable. It supplies one responsiveness estimate within a wider decision.