IB Economics SL 3.3 Macroeconomic objectives Question Bank

Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Text A — Bangladesh: the economic role of women

(1) Bangladesh is a densely populated country in Asia. Its currency is the Bangladeshi taka (BDT). The annual rate of growth of gross domestic product (GDP) has steadily increased from 5.6 % in 2010 to 8.1 % in 2019. Absolute poverty has declined, but inequality has risen, partly due to higher unemployment rates for women than men. Moreover, the labour force participation rate for women is much lower than the rate for men. Over 80 % of the women's jobs are in the informal economy, and these jobs are low paid and insecure. Women need regular paid work, which not only raises household income but also improves economic well-being in terms of education and health.

(2) The structure of the economy is changing. The growth of cities is due to the expansion of the manufacturing sector, which now contributes a larger share to GDP than the agricultural sector. These changes have increased the number of women in the labour force. In particular, the growth of the ready-made garments (RMG) industry (mass-produced clothing) has given women the opportunity to move into formal employment. The RMG industry provides jobs for almost 4 million low-skilled and semi-skilled workers, accounting for over 40 % of total manufacturing employment. The majority of these jobs are being filled by women, with the result that the gap between the wages of men and women is gradually being reduced.

(3) There are concerns about working and safety conditions in the RMG factories. After an accident in a factory in 2013, reforms are being implemented, partly in response to criticisms from overseas retailers and consumers who purchase the garments. The minimum wage has been increased, inspections are carried out, and there are fewer small, unsafe factories.

(4) While working conditions are improving, such reforms raise the costs of manufacturing garments. Furthermore, the international garment market is becoming more competitive, putting pressure on Bangladeshi factories to reduce costs.

(5) The overseas demand for Bangladeshi garments had been rising strongly until 2019. However, demand has recently fallen, reducing firms' revenue. The reduction in revenue and the need to lower costs have forced certain firms to reduce the size of their labour force by dismissing some of their female workers.

(6) The number of ethically and environmentally concerned consumers is increasing globally. Rather than trying to lower costs, firms can be more successful if they produce "green ready-made garments" by implementing sustainable practices. About 100 garment factories in Bangladesh have already been certified as producers that meet specified environmental standards. In addition, global retailers and fashion brands are supporting recycling initiatives through the Circular Fashion Partnership.
Text B - Trade prospects for exports of ready-made garments (RMG)

(1) Exports of RMG account for over 84 % of Bangladesh's total exports. At present, Bangladesh is the world's second largest garment exporter after China. Bangladeshi exports could further increase as Chinese garments become more expensive due to rising wages in China.

(2) Bangladesh is designated as an Economically Least Developed Country (ELDC) and is therefore able to sell goods in Europe and China without any quotas or tariffs being imposed. However, Bangladesh will graduate from ELDC status by 2026 and will then no longer be eligible for preferential trade agreements. Moreover, the USA, which is the largest export market for Bangladeshi garments, has applied a 15 % tariff on imports from Bangladesh since 2013, citing concerns about working conditions in factories.
Text C - Role of foreign direct investment in the RMG sector

(1) Vietnam and Myanmar have significantly increased their garment exports to China due to foreign direct investment (FDI) from China. Chinese investors have set up factories that import raw materials from China and re-export the finished goods back to China.

(2) Consequently, to compete successfully in the huge Chinese market, Bangladesh needs to attract more FDI from China. Bangladesh is developing the required infrastructure, such as transport links. It is also necessary to diversify into expensive high-end fashion, market more aggressively, and use branding strategies.

(3) The funds from additional FDI would be helpful, because the relative contribution of Official Development Assistance (ODA) to Bangladesh's budget is declining. Furthermore, the foreign exchange obtained from foreign investors assists in financing the current account deficit.

*estimate

Study the extract below and answer the questions that follow.
Relief as Kenya raises tariff for steel and iron imports

(1) Steel manufacturers in Kenya are set to benefit as the government moves to protect the local manufacturing industry from cheap steel and iron imports.

(2) In 2014 a government official announced an increased tariff on steel and iron imports. "Our steel mills are closing down due to unfair competition from cheaper imported iron and steel products," he explained. "To protect and create more jobs in the iron and steel industries, tariffs on a wide range of imported iron and steel products will be increased from 0 % and 10 % to 25 %," he said. The government official further stated that as well as protecting the local industries from cheaper imports, the protectionist measures would raise an additional 2.6 billion Kenyan shillings (Kenya's currency) annually in government revenue and support economic growth.

(3) The potential of local industries to expand and create jobs through trade has been held back by a number of administrative barriers. The government remains focused on improving the business environment. Over the past six months, the government has made it easier to register a company and trade across borders. The time taken to move goods out of the main harbour has fallen sharply; non-tariff barriers such as roadblocks have also been reduced. Importers of refined industrial sugar and wheat are also pleased after the government scrapped requirements to pay unnecessary administrative charges.

(4) However, there is a belief among manufacturers that there is a need for more deregulation to lower their costs of production and in effect reduce the cost of doing business.
Kenya sees gross domestic product (GDP) growth picking up but current account a concern

(5) Good economic growth rates in neighbouring countries like Uganda help to boost Kenyan exports, particularly for agriculture that makes up nearly a quarter of the Kenyan economy. The government suggests that the main risks to growth are the slow performance of developed economies that are key export markets for Kenyan goods and services, and Kenya's large and persistent current account deficit of over 10 % of gross domestic product (GDP) in the last three years. This is a major concern for sustained economic growth and the value of the Kenyan shilling.
[Sources: adapted from www.standardmedia.co.ke, 13 June 2014; www.af.reuters.com, 25 July 2014 and www.cnbcafrica.com, 25 November 2013]

Study the following extract and answer the questions that follow.
United States (US) tin can manufacturers seek tariff exemption on tinplate steel

(1) The Can Manufacturers Institute (CMI) has asked the US Department of Commerce to take away tariffs and other trade protection measures that are currently applied to imports of tinplate steel. Tinplate steel is used to make tin cans as packaging for food. The CMI represents the tin can manufacturing industry and its suppliers in the US.

(2) The tin can manufacturing industry accounts for the annual domestic production of approximately 124 billion tin cans. The industry employs more than 28000 people, with factories in 33 US states, Puerto Rico and American Samoa. It generates revenue of around US$17.8 billion. The CMI claims that the tariff on imports of tinplate steel has a severe economic impact on the tin can manufacturing industry.

(3) Approximately 2 % of all US steel is tinplate. Currently, there is excess demand that is causing a disequilibrium in the domestic US tinplate steel market. In 2016, US demand for tinplate steel was 2.1 million tons, while domestic supply was 1.2 million tons, meaning that only 57 % of domestic demand was met by US tinplate steel producers. Not only is there a domestic shortage of tinplate steel, but also the CMI claims that there has been a noticeable decline in the quality of domestically-produced tinplate steel.

(4) The CMI claims that even a small increase in the price of raw materials could create a competitive disadvantage, forcing some tin can manufacturing plants to shut down. This would create structural unemployment for 10000 workers in regionally-based factories. The CMI also claims that the tariff puts food can producers at a competitive disadvantage with other food packaging substitutes, such as plastic and glass. These substitutes are not subject to tariffs.

(5) According to the CMI, canned fruits and vegetables cost 20 % less than fresh food. Because of this, people on low incomes consume canned foods at a higher rate than the average American. Canned food offers a low-cost solution to feeding the nation; especially the 42 million Americans who live in low-income households. The figure includes 13 million children. The CMI further claims that tariffs, or any trade barriers, have harsh consequences for those living in relative poverty.

Study the extract below and answer the questions that follow.
The Australian dollar

(1) The Australian dollar is very strong against the United States (US) dollar and has reached its highest value against the British pound and the euro since 1992.

(2) The world demand for coal, iron ore, and natural gas is rapidly increasing. Australia has these resources in abundance. This has led to an extraordinary boom in the construction of new mining facilities in Australia that is likely to run for at least 10 years. It has had a huge effect on domestic economic growth and has also threatened inflation.

(3) With its stable economic outlook and high interest rates, Australia has proved to be a magnet for foreign investors since 2002, and this has had a significant impact on the exchange rate. The global surge in foreign direct investment and portfolio investment is a sign of international confidence in the economy but it has come at a cost, and with risks. The rise of the exchange rate has created hardships for domestic exporters of goods and services other than resources, and the tourist industry.

(4) In the context of the resources boom, the high exchange rate helps to make the boom less inflationary. It also lowers the prices of imports for those consumers and businesses that buy them.

(5) Structural change is occurring in the Australian economy as domestic firms adjust to a high Australian dollar. It creates pressure for resources - capital and labour - to shift from manufacturing and service export industries to the expanding mining sector. The result is a change in Australia's comparative advantage.

(6) Everything suggests that the Australian dollar will stay strong, even as export prices increase. The huge spending on mining construction over the years will require a lot of foreign financial capital to flow into Australia, helping keep upward pressure on the exchange rate. and "Aussie Bond Appeal comes at cost", The West Australian, 27 January 2012]

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Text A — Overview of North Macedonia

(1) North Macedonia is a small, landlocked nation that shares borders with five countries, including Bulgaria and Greece. Bulgaria and Greece are members of the European Union (EU) common market, which North Macedonia hopes to join soon. Since the country began negotiating for EU membership, trade with the EU has increased rapidly and now accounts for 75 % of North Macedonia's exports and 62 % of its imports.

(2) Despite its small market, with a population of approximately 2 million, North Macedonia's proximity to the EU, low wages and expected entry into the common market have attracted foreign investors. Greece, its richest neighbour, was its third highest source of foreign investment in 2019. The lower cost of living also appeals to Greek tourists.

(3) EU companies have invested in the financial, telecommunication, energy and food processing industries in North Macedonia. Many of the most profitable companies are from the EU. If EU membership is granted, foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows may increase as firms located in North Macedonia will be allowed to bypass all custom checks and enjoy tariff-free trade within the common market. One particular challenge for North Macedonia, however, is that most of the profits of foreign companies are likely to be repatriated (sent back to the companies' home countries).

(4) In 2018, North Macedonia's export revenue was US $ 7.57 billion and its import expenditure was US$9.56 billion. The country's main exports are iron and steel, clothing and accessories, and food products. Food, livestock and consumer goods account for 33 % of imports while the remainder are machinery, petroleum and other materials needed for the industrial production process.

(5) The manufacturing sector, which now employs 31 % of the labour force, has gained more importance. The agricultural sector remains strong, contributes over 10 % of North Macedonia's gross domestic product (GDP) and employs about 16 % of the country's workforce.

(6) The unemployment rate decreased from over 30 % in 2010 to 17.3 % in 2019. However, youth unemployment is almost 40 %. Over 20 % of the population lives below the poverty line. Unemployment and poverty contribute to high rates of emigration. More than 20 % of the North Macedonian population have emigrated since 1994, mostly to the EU. As a member of the EU, North Macedonia will enjoy free movement of labour which will make it easy for its citizens to live and work in other EU countries.
Text B - North Macedonia's economic reforms

(1) To be considered for EU membership, North Macedonia implemented a series of supply-side policies to reform its economy. The EU imposes strict requirements for membership but provides financial assistance to countries preparing for membership. North Macedonia has received 633 million euros (the currency of the EU) to help with the reforms.

(2) Most of the supply-side policies seek to improve the international competitiveness of North Macedonia's industries. The authorities are increasing access to education and training for workers. The expansion of the transport network and other infrastructure is also expected to increase efficiency.

(3) Protection of the environment is also on the list of requirements for EU membership. North Macedonia aims to reduce its dependence on coal and to instead promote the use of solar, wind and hydropower technologies. These low-carbon energy sources would help decrease its air pollution, which is among the worst in Europe.

(4) The reforms, which started in 2014, have shown progress. Exports and manufacturing output are more diversified and more concentrated on high-value products. To attract FDI, North Macedonia maintains one of the lowest tax rates on corporate income in the region. The central bank also prevents the denar (North Macedonia's currency) from appreciating against the euro through managing foreign reserves. However, skill shortages and a mismatch of skills with those required by companies discourage foreign firms from investing. Important investment gaps in public infrastructure also remain.
Text C - North Macedonia's trade agreements
North Macedonia participates in five free trade agreements (FTAs), that together cover 95 % of its exports and 78 % of its imports. Most of its trade with the EU is already free but imports of wine, beef and fish products are still subject to quotas. North Macedonia is currently a net importer of agricultural and food products. All protectionist measures on EU products would be removed upon entry into the common market.

Read the extracts and answer the questions that follow.
Text A - Overview of Uruguay

(1) With a population of only 3.5 million, Uruguay is one of the smallest nations in South America. Its membership of the MERCOSUR common market allows Uruguayan producers tariff-free access to 290 million consumers in Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay.

(2) Agriculture accounts for 8 % of Uruguay's gross domestic product (GDP) and 65 % of its export revenue. Exports have increased since the early 2000s, partly due to China's rising demand for commodities. In particular, Uruguay's soybean producers benefitted from significantly higher prices during the commodity boom. China is now Uruguay's most important export destination, with soybeans accounting for over 50 % of its exports to China.

(3) Uruguay's real GDP increased by an average of 5.39 % per year from 2005 to 2014. However, the economy slowed considerably when the commodity boom ended in 2015. It slowed further because of decreased regional demand when the largest members of MERCOSUR, Argentina and Brazil, faced a recession in 2017. Uruguay's real GDP grew on average by 1.04 % per year from 2015 to 2018.

(4) With the increasing importance of China and the European Union (EU) as export markets, Uruguay has managed to reduce its dependency on MERCOSUR. However, attempts to diversify its exports away from agriculture have not been successful. The end of the commodity boom contributed to a fall in export revenue and the depreciation of the peso (Uruguay's currency). The currency has lost over 25\% of its value since 2015.

(5) Inflation stayed at a relatively high rate of 8 % in 2018 due to the weaker currency. The unemployment rate also increased to 7.9 % as a result of the economic slowdown. The higher cost of living and the lower rates of employment could inhibit efforts to reduce inequality and poverty levels.

(6) Despite rising inflation and unemployment, Uruguay's minimal corruption, abundant natural resources and access to a large common market continue to attract foreign direct investment (FDI). Investments in the paper and wood industries have made forestry one of the country's fastest growing industries. Increased FDI inflows have also prevented the peso from depreciating further.
Text B - The EU-MERCOSUR free trade agreement

(1) The EU and MERCOSUR are finalizing the terms of a free trade agreement, which would enable Uruguay to increase its exports to the 27 EU member states. The EU currently buys 11 % of all Uruguayan exports, mostly animal products, paper, vegetables and wood.

(2) Once the free trade agreement comes into effect, almost all agricultural and industrial tariffs between the EU and MERCOSUR will be removed. The imports of beef, poultry and sugar will not be included in the list of tariff-free products but will be subject to very large quotas. This will allow increased exports of these products to EU countries.

(3) The free trade agreement may cause bankruptcies in the manufacturing sector and higher structural unemployment in Uruguay. EU exports to Uruguay largely consist of manufactured goods, such as chemicals, machinery, transport equipment and plastics, which are in high demand despite the current tariffs of up to 35 %.

(4) One third of FDI into Uruguay comes from the EU. Anticipation of the free trade agreement has led to more EU investments in Uruguay's forestry sector. Environmental organizations have warned that the free trade agreement could be a threat to sustainability as South American forests are cleared to create land for cattle farming, paper and wood production. The deforestation might also disrupt water sources that supply rural villages, depriving the villagers of clean water.
Text C — Uruguay seeks trade agreements outside MERCOSUR

(1) Members of MERCOSUR have differing views on trade policies. Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay believe in trade liberalization and want to increase competition through a reduction of the common external tariff. On the other hand, Argentina wants to maintain the high external tariff to protect industries from cheap imports from China and to avoid prolonging its current recession.

(2) Uruguay has expressed its desire to seek trade agreements apart from MERCOSUR, which is prohibited by the common market's rules. If Uruguay pursues separate bilateral agreements, it is likely to lose its MERCOSUR membership and the benefits of any existing free trade agreement.

Study the following extract and answer the questions that follow.
Japan-European Union Economic Partnership Agreement (JEEPA)

(1) In July 2017, the Japan-European Union Economic Partnership Agreement (JEEPA) was announced and it may come into force in 2019. Jointly, Japan and the European Union (EU) currently account for 28 % of global gross domestic product (GDP). The trade agreement could raise the EU's exports to Japan by 34 % and Japan's exports to the EU by 29 %. Economists say that this trade agreement marks a determined effort to combat rising protectionism and sends a powerful signal that cooperation, not trade protection, is the way to tackle global challenges.

(2) The largest benefit to Japan will be for Japanese car manufacturers, as Europe will gradually lower tariffs from 10 % on Japanese cars. Car tariffs are a big concern for Japanese car manufacturers, who struggle to compete with South Korean car manufacturers. South Korean cars are sold to the EU tariff-free thanks to a free trade agreement signed in 2011. Within Europe, car manufacturers are one of the largest sources of jobs. Car manufacturers in the EU are concerned that cutting tariffs on car imports from Japan may lead to a large increase of Japanese cars into the European market.

(3) The trade agreement will also resolve non-tariff barriers, such as technical requirements and regulations. More importantly, however, the EU and Japan will make their environmental and safety standards on cars the same, which will make trade easier.

(4) Japanese politicians have been defending their relatively inefficient farmers for a long time. Now, Japan will lower tariffs on European meat, dairy products and wine, cutting 85 % of the tariffs on food products coming into Japan. This includes removing the current 30 % tariff on some European cheeses, such as cheddar and gouda cheese. However, imported camembert cheese will face a quota. This may be because Japan produces some camembert cheese.

(5) JEEPA is particularly alarming for United States (US) beef and pork farmers because Japan has been the biggest export market for US beef and the second biggest export market for US pork. Any preferential tariff that EU farmers receive will make it much tougher for American farmers to sell meat in Japan.

(6) With this trade agreement, the EU and Japan are trying to promote the values of economic cooperation and environmental conservation, which are both important for long-term economic growth and sustainability. However, JEEPA faces significant challenges because it will have to be passed by the Japanese Parliament, the European Parliament and European national governments. There is no guarantee that all governments will agree to the economic partnership. 15 July 2017; Japan-EU trade agreement may hurt U.S. meat producers, by Katherine Hyunjung Lee, Jul 12, 2017, Medill News Service, https://dc.medill.northwestern.edu; and A new trade deal between the EU and Japan, The Economist (London, England), Jul 8th 2017, https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2017/07/08/a-new-trade-deal-between-the-eu-and
japan. © The Economist Newspaper Limited, London, July 8th 2017]
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