2.2 The global economy

Syllabus
2026
Section
2.2
Level
—

2.2.1 Globalisation

Syllabus
2026
Topic
2.2.1
Level
—

Recognise globalisation as integration and interdependence

Globalisation is the increasing integration and interdependence of economies.

Integration means national economies become more connected through cross-border production, trade and investment. Interdependence means decisions or shocks in one economy increasingly affect firms, workers, consumers and governments elsewhere.

Selling one exported product is international trade; globalisation is the wider process in which many economies, supply chains and companies become more closely connected and mutually dependent.

Trace four forces that deepen globalisation

Change Mechanism increasing integration
fewer tariffs and quotas imported goods face lower charges or fewer quantity limits → cross-border trade becomes cheaper and easier
lower transport costs firms can move inputs and finished products farther at lower unit cost → international supply chains and markets become viable
lower communication costs firms coordinate suppliers, workers, finance and customers across countries quickly and cheaply
greater significance of MNCs firms locate production, investment and sales in several economies → trade, capital and business decisions link those economies

The forces reinforce one another: cheaper transport and communication make multinational production practical, while fewer trade barriers give those firms wider access to inputs and customers.

A lower cost enables globalisation but does not guarantee it. Political barriers, infrastructure, skills and market demand still affect whether cross-border activity expands.

Evaluate globalisation across six stakeholder effects

Stakeholder Possible benefit Possible cost
consumers greater choice and lower prices from wider sourcing and competition dependence on distant supply chains; traditional local options may disappear
producers wider markets, cheaper inputs and lower communication costs stronger foreign competition can close traditional industries
workers export growth and foreign investment can create jobs, income and skills displaced workers may face unemployment, lower bargaining power or a skills mismatch
individual countries trade, investment and productivity can raise output and living standards gains may be uneven and reliance on a narrow export or foreign firms increases risk
governments more activity can raise tax revenue and access to technology pressure to support displaced sectors; mobile firms may shift activity or tax base
environment international diffusion of cleaner methods is possible more production, extraction and transport can increase emissions, waste and resource damage

Judge the outcome by identifying the stakeholder, time period and distribution of gains. Lower consumer prices can coexist with job losses in a traditional industry, so an economy-wide benefit does not mean every group benefits.

Globalisation does not automatically raise living standards or lower prices. Competition, worker adjustment, environmental rules and how income is distributed determine the result.

Explain why MNCs use FDI and judge host-country effects

A multinational corporation (MNC) operates in more than one country. Foreign direct investment (FDI) is investment that establishes or acquires a lasting business operation in another country, such as building or buying a factory.

Reason for MNC/FDI expansion Business mechanism
economies of scale producing for several markets spreads fixed costs and supports larger-scale purchasing or production
natural resources or cheaper materials locating near inputs can secure supply and lower production cost
lower transport and communication costs coordinating and moving output between countries becomes more affordable
customers in different regions local operations improve market access and adaptation and may avoid some trade costs
Host-country advantage Host-country disadvantage
creates direct jobs and demand for local suppliers local firms or workers may be displaced
invests in infrastructure and productive capital profits may be moved abroad rather than reinvested locally
trains workers and transfers skills or technology key roles may be filled from abroad and promised skill transfer may be limited
contributes business, wage and spending taxes complex structures may avoid taxes or shift profits to lower-tax countries
can raise output, exports and living standards extraction and production may cause environmental damage

Net benefit depends on the MNC's conduct, local linkages, wages and training, tax enforcement, environmental regulation, how long it remains and how much profit is retained in the host economy.

Exporting to a country does not by itself make a firm an MNC or constitute FDI. The firm must operate abroad, and FDI involves a lasting productive or controlling investment rather than a routine sale.

2.2.2 International trade

Syllabus
2026
Topic
2.2.2
Level
—

Balance the gains from free trade against adjustment costs

Free trade means international exchange with few or no barriers such as tariffs and quotas.

Channel Advantage Possible disadvantage
consumers foreign competition and specialisation can lower prices and increase choice a domestic supplier may close, reducing local access or employment
firms as buyers imported raw materials and components can lower input costs dependence on foreign inputs exposes firms to overseas disruption
firms as sellers access to wider markets can raise sales and support economies of scale efficient foreign rivals can take market share from domestic businesses
workers and the economy expanding competitive/export industries can create jobs and income contracting import-competing industries can increase structural unemployment

Fewer barriers → imports become cheaper or more available → competition rises → consumers gain and firms face pressure to cut costs, improve quality or leave the market. At the same time, exporters may gain reciprocal access to larger markets.

Judge free trade by comparing widespread consumer and exporter gains with concentrated adjustment costs. The result depends on competitiveness, labour mobility, the importance of affected industries and whether trading partners also reduce barriers.

Free trade does not mean that every domestic firm loses or that unemployment must rise. Effects differ by industry, and workers may move into expanding sectors over time.

Explain seven reasons governments protect trade

Protectionism is government action that restricts imports or supports domestic producers against foreign competition.

Reason Protection mechanism
prevent dumping dumping is exporting below production cost; restricting it prevents an artificially cheap rival from forcing domestic firms out
protect employment lower import competition can preserve output and jobs in domestic industries
protect infant industries temporary shelter gives new industries time to grow, learn and lower average cost
gain tariff revenue a charge on imports transfers revenue to the government
protect consumers from unsafe products controls can prevent goods that fail domestic safety standards entering the market
reduce a current-account deficit fewer or dearer imports may reduce expenditure on imported goods and services
retaliation a government may answer another country's barrier with its own to gain negotiating leverage

Each reason has a condition: infant protection needs a credible route to competitiveness; import demand must respond for the current account to improve; safety rules must target genuine risk; retaliation may instead escalate a trade war.

Protecting an industry can preserve jobs in the short run but is not costless: consumers and firms using imported inputs may pay more, and sheltered producers may have less incentive to become efficient.

Compare tariffs, quotas and subsidies using market mechanisms

Method What the government does Text-form diagram mechanism Main advantage Main disadvantage
tariff taxes each imported unit domestic supply including imports shifts left/up: equilibrium price rises and quantity falls protects domestic output/jobs and raises government revenue higher prices, less choice, inefficiency and possible retaliation
quota sets a maximum import quantity available supply becomes restricted/vertical at the limit: a tighter quota shifts supply left, raising price and lowering quantity directly limits import volume and supports domestic firms no automatic government revenue; licences/rents and shortages can arise
subsidy pays domestic producers or lowers their costs domestic supply shifts right/down: equilibrium price falls and quantity rises raises domestic competitiveness without directly taxing consumers opportunity cost to government and risk of overproduction/retaliation

For every diagram: label price and quantity axes, D and the original S, add the changed supply or quota line, then mark both equilibria. State the causal direction: tariff/tighter quota → supply left → price up, quantity down; subsidy → supply right → price down, quantity up.

Choose by objective and side effect. A tariff supplies revenue but does not guarantee an import quantity; a quota fixes the limit but can create licence rents; a subsidy supports producers while using tax revenue rather than restricting imports directly.

A tariff is not drawn as a shift in demand. Protection changes the cost or availability of supply; demand moves only if a separate demand determinant changes.

Judge trading blocs from member and non-member perspectives

A trading bloc is a group of countries that reduces trade barriers between members, often while retaining some barriers against non-members. Examples used in the evidence include ASEAN, CPTPP, AfCFTA and RCEP.

Perspective Possible gain Possible cost
member consumers greater choice and lower prices from freer intra-bloc trade a less efficient member supplier may replace a more efficient non-member supplier
member firms larger market, scale, specialisation, investment and cheaper member inputs stronger competition can close uncompetitive domestic firms and jobs
member governments/economies closer integration may attract FDI and increase trade reduced policy autonomy and overdependence on bloc demand or supply chains
non-member countries may gain if the bloc's growth raises external demand external tariffs or rules can divert trade away from their exporters

Distinguish trade creation from trade diversion. Creation occurs when a lower-cost member replaces higher-cost domestic production; diversion occurs when a member replaces an even lower-cost non-member because the outsider still faces a barrier.

Membership does not guarantee that every member gains equally. Outcomes depend on competitiveness, the size of barrier reductions, adjustment costs and how much trade is diverted from efficient outsiders.

Trace how the WTO supports rules-based world trade

The World Trade Organization (WTO) supports a rules-based system for trade between countries.

WTO action How it supports trade
hosts negotiations members can agree reductions in tariffs, quotas and other barriers
administers trade agreements and rules common commitments make access conditions more predictable
provides dispute settlement members can challenge alleged rule breaches through an agreed process rather than immediate retaliation
reviews and monitors trade policies scrutiny increases transparency about members' measures

Negotiation or enforcement of agreed rules → fewer arbitrary barriers and greater predictability → lower risk and transaction costs → firms are more willing to trade and invest internationally.

The WTO does not itself set every country's tariff or force all barriers to zero. Its influence works through agreements accepted by members, negotiation, monitoring and dispute procedures.

Compare developed and developing country trade patterns

A trade pattern describes the types of goods and services a country imports and exports, its trading partners and the relative importance of those flows.

Typical pattern Developed countries Developing countries
exports more diversified manufactured goods and services, often with higher value added often a narrower range with a larger share of primary or agricultural products, though industrialising economies may export manufactures
imports raw materials, agricultural products and also manufactured goods/services capital goods, technology, manufactured consumer goods and inputs for development
vulnerability diversification can reduce dependence on one commodity commodity concentration can expose export revenue to volatile world prices and harvest/resource shocks

Different sector structures, skills, capital, technology, infrastructure, natural resources and stages of industrialisation help explain the contrast. As an economy develops, its pattern can diversify and shift toward manufacturing and services.

The exact Question Bank has only one row for this objective, comparing a developing economy with the UK. Treat the pattern as a tendency to apply with country evidence, not a rule about every economy.

Developing countries do not export only primary goods, and developed countries do not produce every manufactured good. Country classification alone cannot determine an individual trade pattern.

2.2.3 Exchange rates

Syllabus
2026
Topic
2.2.3
Level
—

Read and calculate an exchange rate

An exchange rate is the price of one currency expressed in another currency.

Quotation Meaning Conversion
£1 = €1.10 one pound buys 1.10 euros pounds → euros: multiply by 1.10
£1 = €1.10 1.10 euros buys one pound euros → pounds: divide by 1.10

Identify the currency you have and the currency required, write the units beside the rate, choose multiplication or division so the starting unit cancels, then include the destination currency and sensible rounding.

Example: £15,000 × €1.10 per £ = €16,500. Reverse check: €16,500 ÷ 1.10 = £15,000.

A larger number in a quotation such as £1 = $x means the pound buys more dollars; it does not mean every currency in the pair has strengthened.

Determine exchange rates from currency supply and demand

In a floating system, the exchange rate is determined where demand for a currency equals its supply. The vertical axis is the price of that currency in another currency; the horizontal axis is its quantity.

Change for the domestic currency Curve shift Exchange-rate result
domestic interest rates rise relative to abroad foreign savers/investors demand more domestic currency → D right appreciation
speculators expect the currency to rise they buy it now → D right appreciation
exports increase foreign buyers need domestic currency → D right appreciation
imports increase domestic buyers sell domestic currency for foreign currency → S right depreciation
imports decrease less domestic currency is sold → S left appreciation

For a diagram answer: name the currency priced on the vertical axis, shift only the causal curve, label D1 or S1, and mark the new exchange rate and quantity. D right or S left raises the currency's price; D left or S right lowers it.

Interest rates and speculation affect capital flows, while exports and imports affect trade-related currency flows. The final movement depends on the net size of all simultaneous demand and supply changes.

An increase in domestic imports shifts supply of the domestic currency, not demand: residents must exchange it to obtain foreign currency for payment.

Trace an appreciation through prices, trade and the current account

Appreciation is a rise in a currency's value caused by market forces in a floating exchange-rate system. Revaluation is an official upward change in its value in a fixed or managed system.

Channel after appreciation Price effect Likely demand effect Current-account pressure
exports domestic exports become more expensive to foreign buyers export demand falls export revenue tends to fall
imports foreign goods become cheaper to domestic buyers import demand rises import expenditure tends to rise

Both channels tend to worsen the current account balance: lower export receipts and higher import spending can reduce a surplus or enlarge a deficit.

The size and timing depend on price elasticity of demand, the scale and duration of appreciation, contracts, quality and non-price competitiveness. Inelastic export demand or cheaper imported inputs can weaken or partly offset the predicted effect.

Appreciation and revaluation both raise currency value, but the cause/system differs. Do not use the terms as exact synonyms.

Trace a depreciation through prices, trade and the current account

Depreciation is a fall in a currency's value caused by market forces in a floating exchange-rate system. Devaluation is an official downward change in its value in a fixed or managed system.

Channel after depreciation Price effect Likely demand effect Current-account pressure
exports domestic exports become cheaper to foreign buyers export demand rises export revenue tends to rise
imports foreign goods become more expensive to domestic buyers import demand falls import expenditure tends to fall

Both quantity responses tend to improve the current account balance: stronger exports and weaker imports can enlarge a surplus or reduce a deficit.

Improvement is not automatic. It depends on demand elasticities, size and duration, contracts, spare capacity, quality and how much production relies on imported inputs. A higher import price can initially raise spending before quantities adjust.

Depreciation is not the same as inflation and does not guarantee higher exports. It changes relative prices; buyers must respond and domestic firms must be able to supply.