2.1.3 Relationships between objectives and policies

Syllabus
2026
Topic
2.1.3
Level

Explain four macroeconomic trade-offs without assuming them

A macroeconomic trade-off occurs when a policy or economic change improves one objective but makes another harder to achieve. The conflict is conditional: it depends on the cause, spare capacity, time period and policy design.

Objectives Why a trade-off can occur When it may weaken
unemployment and inflation stronger demand raises output and hiring, but near capacity it raises prices; low unemployment can also increase wage pressure spare capacity or productivity growth lets output rise with less price pressure
economic growth and inflation rapid demand-led growth can create demand-pull inflation and bottlenecks supply-side growth expands capacity, reducing inflation pressure
economic growth and environmental protection more production and transport can increase resource use and pollution; strict controls can raise cost or restrict output clean technology, well-designed incentives and green investment can support both
inflation and the current account domestic prices rising faster than trading partners reduce export competitiveness and make imports relatively attractive, worsening the balance higher productivity, better quality or a compensating exchange-rate change can protect competitiveness
Policy direction Intended gain Possible trade-off
expansionary fiscal/monetary policy growth and lower cyclical unemployment higher inflation and import demand
contractionary demand policy lower inflation and possibly improved current account weaker growth and higher unemployment
environmental regulation or permits less pollution compliance cost and short-run job/output loss in polluting sectors
supply-side or green investment capacity, productivity and cleaner production fiscal cost and long implementation lag, but fewer long-run conflicts

To analyse a trade-off: name the policy or change, trace its first objective through a causal chain, trace the second objective, then state the condition that determines the strength or duration of the conflict.

Do not claim that low unemployment always causes inflation or that environmental protection always reduces growth. Supply conditions, technology and policy design can shift or remove the apparent trade-off.