Course review

4.1 Statistics and probability - SL content

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Learning objective

SL 4.1—Sampling and data

New

• Understand population, sample, random sample, discrete and continuous data. • Assess reliability, bias, missing data, recording errors and outliers. • Use simple random, convenience, systematic, quota and stratified sampling.

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Learning objective

SL 4.2—Data presentation

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• Use frequency tables, histograms and cumulative frequency graphs. • Find median, quartiles, percentiles, range and IQR. • Produce and compare box-and-whisker diagrams; mark outliers.

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Learning objective

SL 4.3—Summary statistics

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• Use mean, median, mode, modal class and grouped-data mean estimates. • Use IQR, standard deviation and variance; technology may calculate SD/variance. • Understand effects of adding/subtracting or scaling all data values.

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Learning objective

SL 4.4—Correlation and regression

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• Use scatter diagrams, lines of best fit and Pearson correlation coefficient r. • Distinguish positive/negative/zero and strong/weak/no correlation. • Correlation does not imply causation; use regression line for prediction with caution.

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Learning objective

SL 4.5—Probability basics

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• Use trial, outcome, sample space, event and relative frequency. • Calculate P(A)=n(A)/n(U), complements and expected number of occurrences. • Represent sample spaces with lists or tables.

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Learning objective

SL 4.6—Combined, conditional and independent events

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• Use Venn, tree, sample-space diagrams and outcome tables. • Use P(A union B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A intersection B). • Use conditional probability and independence, with/without replacement.

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Learning objective

SL 4.7—Discrete random variables

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• Understand discrete random variables and probability distributions. • Find expected value/mean; interpret E(X)=0 as a fair game context.

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Learning objective

SL 4.8—Binomial distribution

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• Use binomial distribution as an appropriate model. • Use mean and variance of binomial distribution. • Use technology for binomial probabilities; formal proofs are not required.

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Learning objective

SL 4.9—Normal distribution

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• Use normal distribution curve and its properties. • Use 68-95-99.7 rule around mean and standard deviation. • Use technology for normal and inverse-normal probabilities.

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Learning objective

SL 4.10—Regression x on y

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• Use equation of regression line of x on y for prediction. • Know prediction direction matters; an x-on-y line is not always reliable for predicting y from x.

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Learning objective

SL 4.11—Formal conditional probability

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• Use P(A|B)=P(A intersection B)/P(B). • Use P(A intersection B)=P(B)P(A|B). • Test for independence using conditional probability.

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Learning objective

SL 4.12—Standardizing normal variables

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• Standardize normal variables using z-values. • z-value measures number of standard deviations from the mean. • Use z-values to find unknown means and standard deviations.

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